Result
1:2
06/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 11
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (240/330) | 78% (351/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (240/330) | 78% (351/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (18/62) | 36% (27/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (58/91) | 61% (95/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.07 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Muldoon J. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Hutchinson R. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
- 41', Holicek M. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Thomas C. ↓, Lunt O. ↑,
- 61', Taylor E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 62', Sutton L. ↓, Fox B. ↑,
- 70', Muldoon J. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 73', Morris B. 🟨,
- 75', O'Reilly T. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Sanders M. H. ⚽,
- 90', Burrell W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bennett M. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
32.7% | Draw
27% | Crewe Alexandra
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.2) |
3.54 ↑
(3.25) |
2.43 ↑
(2.2) |
3.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). Crewe will win (votes: 17 - 44.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 28.9% – 60.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 0.
- Harrogate is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Crewe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Crewe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Crewe might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Gibson L.
(Inactive)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Thomson G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Injury)
Cass L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Injury)
Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Harrogate Town has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Harrogate Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
01.02.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
08.10.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
21.09.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
17.02.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
28.10.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
