Result
1:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 26
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (319/437) | 59% (156/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (319/437) | 59% (156/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (24/68) | 35% (29/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (109/167) | 55% (73/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/34) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Jameson K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jameson K. ↓, Burrell W. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Agius C. ⚽, Billington L. (A),
- 65', Bennett M. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 67', March J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 75', Holicek M. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 82', McCoulsky S. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
- 84', O'Reilly T. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 90+1', Lawlor I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Thibaut A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Cursons T. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra 61.4% | Draw 22.5% | Harrogate Town 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↓ (1.69) |
4.15 ↑ (3.61) |
5.77 ↑ (4.52) |
7.4% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3.
- Crewe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Harrogate has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Crewe is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Harrogate Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Harrogate Town has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town were as follows:
06.10.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:2
01.02.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
08.10.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
21.09.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
17.02.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 44:27 | 17 | 52 |
| 2 | Swindon | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Walsall | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Salford | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 38:33 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48:28 | 20 | 44 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Notts Co | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 38:27 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
| 9 | Colchester | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 39 |
| 10 | Crewe | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42:34 | 8 | 39 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 37 |
| 12 | Oldham | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 35 |
| 13 | Barnet | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:27 | 5 | 35 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 35 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Accrington | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 33 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:42 | -2 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 26:43 | -17 | 30 |
| 19 | Barrow | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Shrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22:41 | -19 | 22 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 21:45 | -24 | 21 |
| 22 | Crawley | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 19 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19:41 | -22 | 18 |
| 24 | Newport | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League