Crewe Alexandra vs Liverpool U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.12
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
75% (213/285)89% (589/660)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.14
Total shots
916
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1133
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
716
Passes
75% (213/285)89% (589/660)
Long passes
39% (22/57)65% (50/77)
Passes in final third
50% (28/56)80% (128/161)
Crosses
44% (4/9)4% (1/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.86
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
167
Tackles
70% (7/10)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3455
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.141.67
Goals prevented
1.14-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', Laffey M. 🟨,
  • 10', Mrozek F. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Tezgel E. (Pen),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Rankine D. , Tezgel E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Spearing J. , Trueman B. ,
  • 46', Tezgel E. , Hodkin J. ,
  • 56', Lunt O. , Chadwick R. ,
  • 56', Finney C. , Scott I. ,
  • 56', Connolly J. , Golding J. ,
  • 56', Moult L. , Swann L. ,
  • 59', Moore L. 🟨,
  • 62', Lambie J. , Bradshaw J. ,
  • 63', Williams R. , Nallo A. ,
  • 63', Laffey M. , Onanuga F. ,
  • 76', Scott I. 🟨,
  • 89', Hodkin J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
49.9%
Draw
23.9%
Liverpool U21
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 20.1% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 18.6% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
  • Liverpool U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool U21's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool U21 than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crewe Alexandra - Liverpool U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.42)
    4.04
    (4.6)
    3.73
    (6.26)
    4.6%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Liverpool U21?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Liverpool U21 will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Crewe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Liverpool U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Liverpool U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Liverpool U21 has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Crewe is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crewe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Crewe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Liverpool U21 were as follows:
    27.08.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Liverpool U21 5:1
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Liverpool U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County0 : 1
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1Stockport CountyTBD #2