Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Searle I. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (437/529) | 73% (255/348) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (437/529) | 73% (255/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (18/62) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (100/141) | 54% (55/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
- 30', Norburn O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lunt O. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
- 52', Holicek M. 🟨,
- 62', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
- 64', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 64', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 71', Hutchinson R. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 71', O'Reilly T. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
- 76', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
- 86', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 90+1', Sanders M. H. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Notts County
47% | Draw
27% | Crewe Alexandra
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Notts County - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99
(1.99) |
3.44 ↓
(3.49) |
3.58 ↑
(3.47) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Notts County is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Robertson S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crewe Alexandra?
Notts County has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Notts County?
Crewe Alexandra has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
27.09.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Notts County
2:1
22.03.2025
Notts County
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
16.11.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Notts County
2:0
24.02.2024
Notts County
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:3
11.11.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Notts County
1:0
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
