Crusaders vs Glenavon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 16
  • Referee: Boyce E. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Bryden F. ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Bryden F. ,
  • 38', Bryden F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', Hamilton B. 🟨,
  • 53', Campbell P. 🟨,
  • 59', McKeown B. , Kee J. ,
  • 68', Clarke R. , Thorndike F. ,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Bryden F. ,
  • 73', Bosakani B. , O'Connor M. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, McClelland K. ,
  • 82', 4 - 1, Bryden F. ,
  • 85', Williamson J. , McCart O. ,
  • 89', Murphy H. , Cartwright L. ,
  • 89', Campbell P. , Lomboto F. ,
  • 89', Bryden F. , Blaney J. ,

Chances of winning


Crusaders
46.9%
Draw
26.1%
Glenavon
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 24.6% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 24% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Crusaders - Glenavon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.87)
    3.57
    (3.75)
    3.44
    (3.52)
    7.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Crusaders - Glenavon?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Glenavon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 3.
    • Crusaders has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Glenavon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Crusaders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Crusaders has had a series of away games.
    • Crusaders is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crusaders - Glenavon were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Glenavon - Crusaders 0:2
    22.02.2025 Glenavon - Crusaders 0:1
    17.12.2024 Glenavon - Crusaders 3:1
    14.09.2024 Crusaders - Glenavon 0:1
    24.02.2024 Crusaders - Glenavon 2:0
    Latest results of Crusaders
    04.11.2025 Glentoran - Crusaders 2:1
    25.10.2025 Crusaders - Glentoran 2:3
    18.10.2025 Bangor - Crusaders 2:1
    Latest results of Glenavon
    08.11.2025 Glenavon - Glentoran 3:1
    01.11.2025 Coleraine - Glenavon 5:1
    18.10.2025 Glenavon - Carrick Rangers 1:0
    11.10.2025 Glenavon - Bangor 0:3
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Larne ✔ 30197453:213264
    2Coleraine ✔ 30194759:273261
    3Linfield ✔ 30178553:193459
    4Glentoran28175649:282156
    5Dungannon301411536:54-1843
    6Carrick Rangers291161245:47-239
    7Cliftonville271071042:42037
    8Portadown281111634:48-1434
    9Bangor FC30951636:52-1632
    10Ballymena29851634:44-1029
    11Crusaders ✔ 29741837:63-2625
    12Glenavon ✔ 30612327:60-3319

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )