Tijuana vs Cruz Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Tijuana - Cruz Azul
Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.77
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
87% (437/501)75% (232/308)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.08
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
914
Passes
87% (437/501)75% (232/308)
Long passes
65% (35/54)29% (12/41)
Passes in final third
70% (67/96)59% (44/75)
Crosses
33% (9/27)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.28
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
149
Tackles
56% (10/18)82% (9/11)
Duels won
5141
Clearances
2422
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.081.55
Goals prevented
0.08-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Rodarte J. 🟥,
  • 12', Corona J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 19', Piovi G. 🟨,
  • 28', Vega A. 🟨,
  • 38', Blanco D. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 0, Blanco D. , Castaneda K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Marquez J. , Orozco J. ,
  • 46', Nicholson S. , El Ghezouani M. ,
  • 46', Preciado A. , Arciga R. ,
  • 55', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 62', Vega A. , Ortiz Orozco P. N. ,
  • 62', Gomez A. , Bilbao U. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, El Ghezouani M. , Inzunza R. (A),
  • 73', Rivero I. , Bogusz M. ,
  • 79', Paradela J. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 80', Fernandez G. , Sepulveda A. ,
  • 80', Piovi G. , Campos O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tijuana
35%
Draw
26.4%
Cruz Azul
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 24% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 24.1% 54%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.
  • Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tijuana - Cruz Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (4.23)
    3.82
    (3.82)
    2.73
    (1.69)
    -1.3%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Tijuana - Cruz Azul?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cruz Azul will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
    • Recent performances by Tijuana have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cruz Azul is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cruz Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cruz Azul might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Tijuana: Mora G. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Cruz Azul: Levy M. (International duty) Montano A. (Knee Injury) Morales A. (Inactive) Ochoa E. (Inactive) Romero L. (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Cruz Azul were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Tijuana - Cruz Azul 2:3
    30.11.2024 Cruz Azul - Tijuana 3:0
    27.11.2024 Tijuana - Cruz Azul 3:0
    16.07.2024 Cruz Azul - Tijuana 3:0
    30.01.2024 Cruz Azul - Tijuana 1:0
    Latest results of Tijuana
    24.09.2025 Santos Laguna - Tijuana 1:0
    19.09.2025 Tijuana - Club León 5:0
    16.09.2025 San Diego - Tijuana 4:2
    31.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    24.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Querétaro 2:2
    19.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Juárez 3:2
    13.09.2025 Pachuca - Cruz Azul 0:1
    23.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1291235:161928
    2Club America1283126:111527
    3Monterrey1282225:19626
    4Cruz Azul1274122:15725
    5Tigres UANL1265122:101223
    6Club Tijuana1255223:131020
    7Pachuca1262416:13320
    8Juarez1253416:15118
    9Guadalajara Chivas1252518:18017
    10UNAM Pumas1234515:19-413
    11Atlas1234521:27-613
    12Club Leon1233612:22-1012
    13Mazatlan FC1225515:21-611
    14Queretaro1232714:21-711
    15Atl. San Luis1231817:20-310
    16Santos Laguna1231813:21-810
    17Necaxa1223711:21-109
    18Puebla1212910:29-195

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )