Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/09/2025 at  23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV | 
|  South-america | ViX Latin America | 
|  Usa | TUDN App, TUDN | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.77 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 62% | 38% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 87% (437/501) | 75% (232/308) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.77 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.08 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 9 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 24 | 16 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 87% (437/501) | 75% (232/308) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 65% (35/54) | 29% (12/41) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 70% (67/96) | 59% (44/75) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 33% (5/15) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.28 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 27 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 9 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 82% (9/11) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 51 | 41 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 24 | 22 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.55 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.45 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Rodarte J. 🟥, 
- 12', Corona J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑, 
- 19', Piovi G. 🟨, 
- 28', Vega A. 🟨, 
- 38', Blanco D. 🟨, 
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Blanco D. ⚽, Castaneda K. (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marquez J. ↓, Orozco J. ↑, 
- 46', Nicholson S. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑, 
- 46', Preciado A. ↓, Arciga R. ↑, 
- 55', Gomez A. 🟨, 
- 62', Vega A. ↓, Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↑, 
- 62', Gomez A. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑, 
- 72', 2 - 0, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Inzunza R. (A), 
- 73', Rivero I. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑, 
- 79', Paradela J. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑, 
- 80', Fernandez G. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑, 
- 80', Piovi G. ↓, Campos O. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Tijuana 35%
 | Draw 26.4%
 | Cruz Azul 38.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Tijuana - Cruz Azul Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.79 ↓ (4.23)
 | 3.82 ↑ (3.82)
 | 2.73 ↑ (1.69)
 | -1.3% (9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Tijuana - Cruz Azul?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Cruz Azul will win 
                    (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
- Recent performances by Tijuana have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cruz Azul is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cruz Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cruz Azul might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Tijuana: Mora G.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Levy M.
(International duty)
Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
Morales A.
(Inactive)
Ochoa E.
(Inactive)
Romero L.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Cruz Azul?
                    
                    
                        
                            Tijuana has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Tijuana?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cruz Azul has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Cruz Azul were as follows:
                                                        
                                31.01.2025 
                                Tijuana 
                                - 
                                Cruz Azul 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                30.11.2024 
                                Cruz Azul 
                                - 
                                Tijuana 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.11.2024 
                                Tijuana 
                                - 
                                Cruz Azul 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.07.2024 
                                Cruz Azul 
                                - 
                                Tijuana 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                30.01.2024 
                                Cruz Azul 
                                - 
                                Tijuana 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tijuana                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cruz Azul                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41:18 | 23 | 33 | 
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 | 
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 | 
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 | 
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 | 
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 | 
| 7 | Pachuca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 | 
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 | 
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | 
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 | 
| 12 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 | 
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | 
| 14 | Queretaro | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 14 | 
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 | 
| 16 | Necaxa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 13 | 
| 17 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 | 
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)