Result
1:2
04/04/2026 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/449) | 75% (202/269) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/449) | 75% (202/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 47% (29/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (90/132) | 69% (56/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Kenedy ⚽,
- 23', Piovi G. 🟨,
- 32', Rodarte J. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Ebere C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 2, Kenedy ⚽, Idrissi O. (A),
- 61', Romero L. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
- 69', Kenedy ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
- 69', Rondon S. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 69', Montiel E. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 76', Idrissi O. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 80', Ebere C. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
- 80', Marquez J. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 84', Rivera C. 🟥,
- 87', Guzman V. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
- 90', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 90', Pedraza P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
42.2% | Draw
26.6% | Pachuca
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruz Azul's form might have worsened.Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+18.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruz Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pachuca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruz Azul - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.58) |
3.52 ↓
(4.35) |
3.05 ↓
(5.16) |
6.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pachuca will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Pachuca (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 50%). Pachuca (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.
- Cruz Azul is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Pachuca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cruz Azul is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
Palavecino A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Mozo A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Rotondi C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Pachuca?
Cruz Azul has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Cruz Azul?
Pachuca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Pachuca were as follows:
13.09.2025
Pachuca
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
08.02.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Pachuca
2:1
28.09.2024
Pachuca
-
Cruz Azul
2:4
13.01.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Pachuca
0:1
23.08.2023
Pachuca
-
Cruz Azul
1:0
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
