Result
07/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Toluca 52.9% | Draw 25.6% | Cruz Azul 21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Toluca - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (1.95) |
3.63 ↑ (3.46) |
4.36 ↑ (3.91) |
6.8% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Toluca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cruz Azul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Toluca is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Cruz Azul?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Toluca?
Cruz Azul has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Cruz Azul were as follows:
23.08.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
1:0
19.04.2025
Toluca
-
Cruz Azul
2:2
20.07.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
1:1
27.04.2024
Toluca
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
08.07.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
0:2
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Monterrey | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Club America | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Juarez | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Puebla | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)