Toluca vs Cruz Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Toluca
52.9%
Draw
25.6%
Cruz Azul
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 27.3% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 27.4% 24.3%

Toluca - Cruz Azul Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.78
(1.95)
3.63
(3.46)
4.36
(3.91)
6.8%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
  • Toluca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Cruz Azul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • In this match, Toluca is considered a favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Cruz Azul were as follows:
23.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 1:0
19.04.2025 Toluca - Cruz Azul 2:2
20.07.2024 Cruz Azul - Toluca 1:1
27.04.2024 Toluca - Cruz Azul 0:1
08.07.2023 Cruz Azul - Toluca 0:2
Latest results of Toluca
30.01.2026 Puebla - Toluca 0:0
17.01.2026 Tigres UANL - Toluca 0:0
14.01.2026 Toluca - Santos Laguna 3:1
10.01.2026 Monterrey - Toluca 0:1
14.12.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 3:1
Latest results of Cruz Azul
30.01.2026 Juárez - Cruz Azul 3:4
17.01.2026 Cruz Azul - Puebla 1:0
14.01.2026 Cruz Azul - Atlas 2:0
10.01.2026 Club León - Cruz Azul 2:1
04.01.2026 Jaiba Brava - Cruz Azul 2:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura
PlWDLDiffPts
1Guadalajara Chivas44008:3512
2Cruz Azul43018:539
3Atlas43013:219
4UNAM Pumas42207:258
5Toluca42204:138
6Monterrey42119:457
7Tigres UANL42114:317
8Club Tijuana41305:416
9Club America41212:205
10Pachuca41212:3-15
11Atl. San Luis41126:604
12Juarez41127:8-14
13Club Leon41125:6-14
14Puebla41122:3-14
15Necaxa41033:6-33
16Queretaro40223:5-22
17Santos Laguna40134:12-81
18Mazatlan FC40043:10-70

      Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)