Result
0:2
25/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (361/415) | 86% (384/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (361/415) | 86% (384/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (60/83) | 71% (84/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Gabriel Barbosa (A),
- 41', 0 - 2, Lucas Silva ⚽, Gabriel Barbosa (A),
- 45+3', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Diogo Barbosa ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
- 46', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez P. ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
- 54', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 65', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
- 68', Marquinhos ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 68', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 71', Ze Welison ↓, Calebe ↑,
- 79', Breno Lopes ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 82', Kaio Jorge ↓, Kenji ↑,
- 83', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
- 90', Romero L. ↓, Murilo Rhikman ↑,
- 90+1', Christian ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
39.9% | Draw
30.9% | Cruzeiro
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Fortaleza - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.62) |
3.07 ↓
(3.1) |
3.23 ↑
(2.75) |
5.2%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Cruzeiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Cruzeiro (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.
- Fortaleza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cruzeiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Marinho
(Red Card)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Pereira
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Rodrigo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Cruzeiro?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Fortaleza?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Cruzeiro were as follows:
05.08.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Fortaleza
1:2
17.04.2024
Fortaleza
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
18.11.2023
Fortaleza
-
Cruzeiro
0:1
21.06.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Fortaleza
0:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
