Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 29
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (399/464) | 82% (295/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (399/464) | 82% (295/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (27/46) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/118) | 74% (89/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Arroyo K. (A),
- 26', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 35', Mancuso E. 🟨,
- 36', Pochettino T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Lucero J. 🟨,
- 63', Lucas Silva ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 64', Herrera J. ↓, Moises ↑,
- 64', Rodrigo ↓, Pierre ↑,
- 64', Kaua Prates ↓, William Furtado ↑,
- 73', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 74', Lucero J. ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 84', Matheus Pereira ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 84', Christian ↓, Walace ↑,
- 86', Gazal 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
60.7% | Draw
22.3% | Fortaleza
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Cruzeiro - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.55) |
4.2 ↑
(3.93) |
5.65 ↓
(5.95) |
5.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Cruzeiro (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Kaiki
(Yellow Cards)
Kaio Jorge
(Red Card)
Matheus Henrique
(Ribs Injury)
Sinisterra L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Avila G.
(Yellow Cards)
Bareiro A.
(Yellow Cards)
Bareiro A.
(Red Card)
Britez E.
(Yellow Cards)
Bruno Pacheco
(Thigh Injury)
Deyverson
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Ricardo
(Shoulder Injury)
Kuscevic B.
(Yellow Cards)
Kuscevic B.
(Red Card)
Pablo Roberto
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Cassio
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Allanzinho
(Inactive)
Benevenuto
(Hamstring Injury)
Lucas Crispim
(Muscle Injury)
Lucca Prior
(Pelvis Injury)
Tinga
(Groin Injury)
Weverson
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Fortaleza?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Cruzeiro?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Fortaleza were as follows:
25.05.2025
Fortaleza
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
05.08.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Fortaleza
1:2
17.04.2024
Fortaleza
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
18.11.2023
Fortaleza
-
Cruzeiro
0:1
21.06.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Fortaleza
0:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
