Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Cruzeiro
Result
0:2
25/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 10
  • Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.30
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
87% (361/415)86% (384/444)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.242.50
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2530
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
87% (361/415)86% (384/444)
Long passes
55% (27/49)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
72% (60/83)71% (84/118)
Crosses
15% (4/26)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.05
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
1410
Tackles
45% (5/11)42% (8/19)
Duels won
3645
Clearances
3124
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
2.500.24
Goals prevented
0.500.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge , Gabriel Barbosa (A),
  • 41', 0 - 2, Lucas Silva , Gabriel Barbosa (A),
  • 45+3', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Diogo Barbosa , Mancuso E. ,
  • 46', Emmanuel Martinez , Pochettino T. ,
  • 46', Fernandez P. , Pedro Augusto ,
  • 54', Villalba L. 🟨,
  • 65', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
  • 68', Marquinhos , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 68', Gabriel Barbosa , Eduardo ,
  • 71', Ze Welison , Calebe ,
  • 79', Breno Lopes , Lucca Prior ,
  • 82', Kaio Jorge , Kenji ,
  • 83', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
  • 90', Romero L. , Murilo Rhikman ,
  • 90+1', Christian , Diaz L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
39.9%
Draw
30.9%
Cruzeiro
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30.2% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 31.9% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Fortaleza - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.62)
    3.07
    (3.1)
    3.23
    (2.75)
    5.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Cruzeiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Cruzeiro (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.
    • Fortaleza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cruzeiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Marinho (Red Card) Moises (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury) Matheus Pereira (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Rodrigo (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    05.08.2024 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 1:2
    17.04.2024 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 1:1
    18.11.2023 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:1
    21.06.2023 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 0:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    21.05.2025 Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil 1:2
    17.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 3:0
    10.05.2025 Fortaleza - Juventude 5:0
    06.05.2025 Fortaleza - Colo-Colo 4:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    22.05.2025 Vila Nova - Cruzeiro 0:3
    14.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Palestino 2:1
    11.05.2025 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 0:4
    07.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet