Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Fortaleza
Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 29
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.98
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
86% (399/464)82% (295/359)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.870.86
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
86% (399/464)82% (295/359)
Long passes
59% (27/46)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
70% (83/118)74% (89/120)
Crosses
12% (2/17)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.83
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
1317
Tackles
54% (7/13)52% (12/23)
Duels won
4756
Clearances
2020
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.860.87
Goals prevented
0.86-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Christian , Arroyo K. (A),
  • 26', Villalba L. 🟨,
  • 35', Mancuso E. 🟨,
  • 36', Pochettino T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Lucero J. 🟨,
  • 63', Lucas Silva , Eduardo ,
  • 64', Herrera J. , Moises ,
  • 64', Rodrigo , Pierre ,
  • 64', Kaua Prates , William Furtado ,
  • 73', Arroyo K. , Wanderson ,
  • 74', Lucero J. , Kayke ,
  • 84', Matheus Pereira , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 84', Christian , Walace ,
  • 86', Gazal 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
60.7%
Draw
22.3%
Fortaleza
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 23.9% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 23.2% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Cruzeiro - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.55)
    4.2
    (3.93)
    5.65
    (5.95)
    5.1%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Cruzeiro (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Kaiki (Yellow Cards) Kaio Jorge (Red Card) Matheus Henrique (Ribs Injury) Sinisterra L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Avila G. (Yellow Cards) Bareiro A. (Yellow Cards) Bareiro A. (Red Card) Britez E. (Yellow Cards) Bruno Pacheco (Thigh Injury) Deyverson (Yellow Cards) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Kuscevic B. (Yellow Cards) Kuscevic B. (Red Card) Pablo Roberto (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Cassio (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Allanzinho (Inactive) Benevenuto (Hamstring Injury) Lucas Crispim (Muscle Injury) Lucca Prior (Pelvis Injury) Tinga (Groin Injury) Weverson (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Fortaleza were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:2
    05.08.2024 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 1:2
    17.04.2024 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 1:1
    18.11.2023 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:1
    21.06.2023 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 0:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    05.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Sport Recife 1:1
    02.10.2025 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 0:0
    27.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 2:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    15.10.2025 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 0:2
    05.10.2025 Juventude - Fortaleza 1:2
    02.10.2025 Fortaleza - São Paulo 0:2
    27.09.2025 Fortaleza - Sport Recife 1:0
    20.09.2025 Palmeiras - Fortaleza 4:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet