Lanús vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Lanús - Cruzeiro
Result
0:1
30/10/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaComteco, Cotegua, Coteor, Inter Satelital, Tigo Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileESPN
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainbeIN Sports, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ 1, #Vamos
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.49
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
1614
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
89
Blocked Shots
41
Free Kicks
59
Corner Kicks
94
Offsides
32
Throw-ins
2812
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
95
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
370534
Completed Passes
286430
Crosses Completed
35
Interceptions
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Carrera R. , Aquino D. ,
  • 57', Perez G. , Torres J. ,
  • 70', Boggio L. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 74', Cassio 🟨,
  • 79', Kaio Jorge , Ze Ivaldo ,
  • 86', Romero L. , Lucas Silva ,
  • 86', Matheus Pereira , Ramiro ,
  • 86', Gabriel Veron , Diaz L. ,
  • 90+2', Pena Biafore F. , Diaz L. ,
  • 90+5', Caceres J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
39.6%
Draw
32.3%
Cruzeiro
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 27.4% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 25.6% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.
  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lanús - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (3.86)
    2.92
    (3.4)
    3.36
    (1.92)
    6%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Lanús - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Lanús is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Lanús will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lanús won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Cruzeiro - Lanús 1:1
    Latest results of Lanús
    23.10.2024 Cruzeiro - Lanús 1:1
    18.10.2024 Lanús - Independiente 0:2
    05.10.2024 Newells Old Boys - Lanús 2:1
    30.09.2024 Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata 0:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    23.10.2024 Cruzeiro - Lanús 1:1
    18.10.2024 Cruzeiro - Bahia 1:1
    03.10.2024 Fluminense - Cruzeiro 1:0
    29.09.2024 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2