Result
0:1
30/10/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | Comteco, Cotegua, Coteor, Inter Satelital, Tigo Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | ESPN |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 France | L'Equipe Live Foot |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Spain | beIN Sports, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ 1, #Vamos |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 370 | 534 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 286 | 430 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Carrera R. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 57', Perez G. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 70', Boggio L. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 74', Cassio 🟨,
- 79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Ze Ivaldo ↑,
- 86', Romero L. ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 86', Matheus Pereira ↓, Ramiro ↑,
- 86', Gabriel Veron ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 90+2', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 90+5', Caceres J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lanús
39.6% | Draw
32.3% | Cruzeiro
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+17.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lanús - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(3.86) |
2.92 ↓
(3.4) |
3.36 ↑
(1.92) |
6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lanús - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- Lanús is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Lanús will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Lanús won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Cruzeiro?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Lanús?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Cruzeiro were as follows:
23.10.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Lanús
1:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
