Monaco vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, UEFA Champions League

22/10/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Louis II (Monaco).

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.48	1.05
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Goal Attempts
27	5
Shots on Goal
8	2
Shots off Goal
13	2
Blocked Shots
6	1
Free Kicks
8	16
Corner Kicks
8	5
Offsides
2	0
Throw-ins
26	12
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
Fouls
16	8
Yellow Cards
1	1
Total Passes
557	236
Completed Passes
487	158
Crosses Completed
9	4
Interceptions
6	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Bruno Duarte ↓, Dalcio ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Minamino T. ⚽, Singo W. (A),
26', Kehrer T. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Ndiaye C. (Pen),
45+3', Maksimovic A. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ben Seghir E. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
54', 3 - 1, Singo W. ⚽, Kehrer T. (A),
60', Krunic R. ↓, Rodic M. ↑,
60', Silas ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Minamino T. ⚽, Embolo B. (A),
74', Ndiaye C. ↓, Kanga G. ↑,
74', Maksimovic A. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
77', Caio Henrique ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
77', Embolo B. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
77', Camara L. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
86', Zakaria D. ↓, Matazo E. ↑,
90+6', 5 - 1, Akliouche M. ⚽, Minamino T. (A),

Chances of winning

Monaco
71.3%

Draw
17.5%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

18.4%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

17.9%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Monaco - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)	5.56 ↑ (5.19)	8.59 ↑ (7.58)	3.6% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Monaco - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?

Users Predictions: 113 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 107 - 94.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 1 - 0.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 4.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 90.6% – 98.8%. The data is statistically significant.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
In this match Monaco is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Coulibaly M. (Knee Injury) Diop E. (Broken Leg) Salisu M. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Avdic A. (Knee Injury) Mimovic O. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Ivanic M. (Thigh Injury)
Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 1.37.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Monaco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?

Monaco has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Monaco?

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:

03.11.2022 Monaco - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 4:1

08.09.2022 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Monaco 0:1

Latest results of Monaco

18.10.2024 Monaco - Lille 0:0 ✺

05.10.2024 Rennes - Monaco 1:2 ✺

02.10.2024 Dinamo Zagreb - Monaco 2:2 ✺

28.09.2024 Monaco - Montpellier 2:1 ✺

22.09.2024 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

18.10.2024 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički Niš 5:1 ✺

06.10.2024 IMT Novi Beograd - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3 ✺

01.10.2024 Inter Milan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 4:0 ✺

27.09.2024 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Železničar Pančevo 2:1 ✺

23.09.2024 Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 0:4 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	5:1	4	3
2	PSG	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
3	Club Brugge KV	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
4	Sporting CP	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
5	Royale Union SG	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
6	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
8	Inter	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
10	Qarabag	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
11	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
12	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
13	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
14	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
15	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
16	Juventus	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
17	Bayer Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
18	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
19	Slavia Prague	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
20	FC Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
21	Pafos	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
22	Olympiacos Piraeus	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
23	Atl. Madrid	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	Benfica	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
29	PSV	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
30	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Ajax	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
33	Monaco	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Kairat Almaty	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
35	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
36	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Monaco vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV