Result
0:3
31/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 3
- Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
Albania | SuperSport 4 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2, Sky Sport Austria Premier League |
Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2 |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Premier League |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
Iceland | SÝN Sport |
India | Disney+ Hotstar |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, SuperSport 4 |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Astro Premier League, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | Sky Sport Premier League |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
Romania | Pro TV, Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-africa | SuperSport Premier League |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Premier League |
Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Palace TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, USA Network |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360 |
World | Sport 24 At Sea |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.13 | 2.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
90% (470/524) | 85% (328/384) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.13 | 2.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.02 | 2.24 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
90% (470/524) | 85% (328/384) |
Long passes |
---|
68% (30/44) | 49% (19/39) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (123/161) | 70% (67/96) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (6/31) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.68 | 1.19 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
45% (5/11) | 68% (17/25) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.24 | 1.02 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.76 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Cash M. 🟨,
- 20', Bizot M. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Mateta J. (Pen),
- 22', Mateta J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Guessand E. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
- 52', Hughes W. 🟨,
- 56', Wharton A. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 2, Guehi M. ⚽,
- 71', Hughes W. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
- 74', Cash M. ↓, Burrowes B. ↑,
- 74', McGinn J. ↓, Torres P. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 3, Sarr I. ⚽, Lacroix M. (A),
- 83', Malen D. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
- 84', Maatsen I. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
- 85', Mateta J. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
- 86', Kamada D. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
- 87', Sarr I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aston Villa 48.2% | Draw 27.4% | Crystal Palace 24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aston Villa - Crystal Palace Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↑ (1.83) |
3.48 ↓ (3.58) |
3.96 ↓ (4.5) |
4.4% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Crystal Palace?
Users Predictions:
63 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 43 - 68.3%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 9 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 56.8% – 79.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 5 - 50%). Crystal Palace (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 0.
- Recent performances by Aston Villa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Crystal Palace is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Brannigan C.
(Injury)
Garcia A.
(Knock)
Kamara B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Onana A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C.
(Knee Injury)
Edouard O.
(Calf Injury)
Kporha C.
(Back Injury)
Nketiah E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Riad C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Aston Villa: Barkley R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Hughes W.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Crystal Palace?
Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crystal Palace won against Aston Villa?
Crystal Palace has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Crystal Palace were as follows:
26.04.2025
Crystal Palace
-
Aston Villa
3:0
25.02.2025
Crystal Palace
-
Aston Villa
4:1
23.11.2024
Aston Villa
-
Crystal Palace
2:2
30.10.2024
Aston Villa
-
Crystal Palace
1:2
19.05.2024
Crystal Palace
-
Aston Villa
5:0
Latest results of Aston Villa
Latest results of Crystal Palace
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
2 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
3 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Tottenham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
5 | Everton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Bournemouth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 5 |
9 | Manchester Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Nottingham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Brighton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
13 | Manchester City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Burnley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Brentford | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
16 | West Ham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Newcastle | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
19 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Wolves | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship