Result
1:3
10/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (325/389) | 86% (405/473) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (325/389) | 86% (405/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (46/77) | 68% (75/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', Chaverra L. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Fydriszewski F. (A),
- 35', Loboa H. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 38', Rios L. ↓, Berdugo L. ↑,
- 43', Agudelo J. 🟥,
- 45+1', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Berdugo L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', 1 - 2, Serna A. ⚽,
- 55', Castaneda F. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 55', Londono K. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 3, Montano J. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
- 63', Calcaterra D. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 63', Arizalas E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 65', Moreno D. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 65', Montano J. ↓, Mancilla G. ↑,
- 85', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 86', Chaverra F. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
- 86', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
- 87', Ortiz J. 🟨,
- 89', Mena Perea E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cúcuta Deportivo
24.9% | Draw
27% | Independiente Medellín
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.76 ↓
(3.77) |
3.46 ↑
(3.13) |
1.94 ↓
(2.03) |
7.1%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Cúcuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ind Medellín could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cúcuta Deportivo won against Independiente Medellín?
Cúcuta Deportivo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Cúcuta Deportivo?
Independiente Medellín has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
05.10.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Cúcuta Deportivo
1:3
28.09.2023
Cúcuta Deportivo
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 | Santa Fe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Alianza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
