Independiente Medellín vs Cúcuta Deportivo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Copa Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo
Result
1:3 penalties
05/10/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • COLOMBIA: COPA COLOMBIA - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Rivera H. (Col)

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
61%
Draw
23.3%
Cúcuta Deportivo
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 20.8% 11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 20.2% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Medellín's form might have worsened.
  • Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.36)
    3.96
    (4.4)
    5.83
    (7.8)
    8.2%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 4.
    • Independiente Medellín is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Cúcuta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Independiente Medellín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Independiente Medellín is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Medellín won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo were as follows:
    28.09.2023 Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
    Draw
    First stage - Play Offs

    Final
    1Ind. MedellinJaguares de Cordoba1 : 1
    2Santa FeInter Palmira2 : 0
    3Deportes TolimaReal Cundinamarca1 : 2
    4MillonariosCartagena3 : 1
    5America De CaliTigres5 : 0
    6JuniorHuila2 : 2
    7Atl. NacionalCucuta1 : 0
    8Once CaldasPatriotas6 : 0