Result
3:1
15/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 16
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.71 | 0.60 |
Ball Possession |
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42% | 58% |
Total shots |
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8 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 7 |
Passes |
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75% (225/301) | 83% (343/412) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.71 | 0.60 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.07 | 1.00 |
Total shots |
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8 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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18 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 12 |
Passes |
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75% (225/301) | 83% (343/412) |
Long passes |
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56% (29/52) | 52% (26/50) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (66/101) | 70% (67/96) |
Crosses |
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20% (2/10) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.30 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
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31 | 23 |
Fouls |
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12 | 15 |
Tackles |
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78% (7/9) | 40% (6/15) |
Duels won |
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48 | 51 |
Clearances |
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24 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.00 | 2.07 |
Goals prevented |
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0.00 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Torres J. ⚽,
- 25', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Alisson Safira (Pen),
- 36', 2 - 1, Carlos Alberto ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 49', Ramirez Kevin 🟨,
- 53', Marcelo Henrique 🟨,
- 58', Juan Christian ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 64', Carlos Alberto ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
- 67', Torres D. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 1, Alisson Safira (Pen),
- 76', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
- 76', Bruno Ramires ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
- 77', Kiko 🟨,
- 81', Marcelo Henrique ↓, Leonardo Ataide ↑,
- 81', David ↓, Arthur Rezende ↑,
- 81', Alisson Safira ↓, Edu ↑,
- 90', Akapo C. ↓, Viera S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá 57.5% | Draw 27.1% | Amazonas 15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Cuiabá - Amazonas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↑ (1.57) |
3.43 ↓ (3.69) |
6.03 ↓ (6.11) |
6.9% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Amazonas?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Cuiabá (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Recent form of Cuiabá has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Amazonas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cuiabá is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Yellow Cards)
Asad Y.
(Injury)
Calebe Costa
(Yellow Cards)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson
(Inactive)
Castrillon N.
(Inactive)
Joao Lopes
(Inactive)
Luan Silva
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Sander
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Amazonas: Diego Borges
(Inactive)
Thomas Luciano
(Injury)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Amazonas?
Cuiabá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Cuiabá?
Amazonas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Amazonas were as follows:
Latest results of Amazonas
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
2 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Novorizontino | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Criciuma | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
7 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
8 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 30 |
10 | CRB | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:21 | 2 | 28 |
11 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
13 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
15 | Athletic Club | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
16 | America MG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 22 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14:30 | -16 | 21 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )