Result
3:1
15/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 16
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (225/301) | 83% (343/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (225/301) | 83% (343/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (66/101) | 70% (67/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 51 |
| Clearances |
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| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Torres J. ⚽,
- 25', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Alisson Safira (Pen),
- 36', 2 - 1, Carlos Alberto ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 49', Ramirez Kevin 🟨,
- 53', Marcelo Henrique 🟨,
- 58', Juan Christian ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 64', Carlos Alberto ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
- 67', Torres D. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 1, Alisson Safira (Pen),
- 76', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
- 76', Bruno Ramires ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
- 77', Kiko 🟨,
- 81', Marcelo Henrique ↓, Leonardo Ataide ↑,
- 81', David ↓, Arthur Rezende ↑,
- 81', Alisson Safira ↓, Edu ↑,
- 90', Akapo C. ↓, Viera S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
57.5% | Draw
27.1% | Amazonas
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Cuiabá - Amazonas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.57) |
3.43 ↓
(3.69) |
6.03 ↓
(6.11) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Amazonas?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Cuiabá (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Recent form of Cuiabá has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Amazonas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cuiabá is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Yellow Cards)
Asad Y.
(Injury)
Calebe Costa
(Yellow Cards)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson
(Inactive)
Castrillon N.
(Inactive)
Joao Lopes
(Inactive)
Luan Silva
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Sander
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Amazonas: Diego Borges
(Inactive)
Thomas Luciano
(Injury)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Amazonas?
Cuiabá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Cuiabá?
Amazonas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Amazonas were as follows:
Latest results of Amazonas
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
