Cuiabá vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.45
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (335/398)72% (213/294)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.711.12
Total shots
187
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
84% (335/398)72% (213/294)
Long passes
50% (25/50)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
69% (81/118)55% (50/91)
Crosses
19% (7/37)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.93
Throw-ins
3315
Fouls
1713
Tackles
31% (4/13)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5557
Clearances
3339
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.121.71
Goals prevented
0.121.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Jean Irmer 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jean Irmer , Luis Oyama ,
  • 46', Romulo , Tavinho ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Waguininho , Robson (A),
  • 61', Jader , Juan Christian ,
  • 61', Nathan Pelae , De Lucca ,
  • 61', Nino Paraiba , Carlos Alberto ,
  • 71', Dantas 🟨,
  • 72', Robson 🟥,
  • 81', Sander , Pasadore F. ,
  • 81', Pablo Dyego , Bruno Jose ,
  • 87', Martinez A. , Victor Barbara ,
  • 90+6', Waguininho 🟨,
  • 90+6', Waguininho , Rafael Donato ,
  • 90+8', Max Alves 🟨,
  • 90+9', Luis Oyama 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
42.1%
Draw
31.3%
Grêmio Novorizontino
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 29.9% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 28.6% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Cuiabá have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.22)
    2.97
    (3.12)
    3.52
    (3.33)
    7.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Cuiabá (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Novorizontino (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 50%). Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cuiabá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Injury) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Matheusinho (Yellow Cards) Nathan Pelae (Injury)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Nathan Fogaca (Injury) Rai Ramos (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cuiabá: Calebe Costa (Injury) Matheusinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá 3:0
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    02.10.2025 Paysandu - Cuiabá 1:1
    28.09.2025 Cuiabá - Athletic Club 2:1
    24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2
    21.09.2025 Cuiabá - Chapecoense 1:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vila Nova FC633011:8312
    2Fortaleza63216:7-111
    3Sao Bernardo63128:5310
    4Criciuma63128:6210
    5Juventude63125:4110
    6Ceara62408:5310
    7Sport Recife62406:4210
    8Nautico63034:6-29
    9Operario-PR62314:319
    10Botafogo SP62229:638
    11Avai62227:618
    12Novorizontino62227:618
    13Athletic Club62228:808
    14Atletico GO62137:8-17
    15Ponte Preta62135:6-17
    16Goias62136:8-27
    17Cuiaba61413:307
    18Londrina61237:8-15
    19CRB60246:11-52
    20America MG60243:10-72

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