Result
1:1
16/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 37
- Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/395) | 77% (222/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/395) | 77% (222/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (34/71) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (70/108) | 64% (49/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Rafa Silva 🟨,
- 21', Yago Souza 🟨,
- 26', Max Alves 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yago Souza ↓, Rafa Barcelos ↑,
- 46', Max Alves ↓, Luisao ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Carlos Alberto ⚽, Victor Barbara (A),
- 58', 1 - 1, Willian Bigode ⚽, Rafa Silva (A),
- 66', De Lucca ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 76', Denilson Alves ↓, Gabriel Mineiro ↑,
- 76', Victor Barbara ↓, Eduardo Vinicius ↑,
- 78', Willian Bigode ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
- 82', Rafa Silva ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 84', Carlos Alberto ↓, Asad Y. ↑,
- 89', Thauan ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 89', Kaua Diniz ↓, Miqueias ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
34.5% | Draw
30.4% | Cuiabá
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cuiabá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
América Mineiro - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.32) |
3.03 ↓
(3.12) |
2.69 ↓
(3.03) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Cuiabá?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - América MG (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Cuiabá (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): América Mineiro will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- In recent matches, América MG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cuiabá's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, América MG is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Aloisio
(Thigh Injury)
Gustavo
(Yellow Cards)
Lucao
(Yellow Cards)
Maguinho
(Pelvis Injury)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Ortiz C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Inactive)
Asad Y.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus Pasinato
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in América MG: Fabinho
(Inactive)
Heber
(Inactive)
Julio Cesar
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, América MG won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Cuiabá?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against América Mineiro?
Cuiabá has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Cuiabá were as follows:
23.07.2025
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
3:1
15.09.2023
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
2:2
07.05.2023
América Mineiro
-
Cuiabá
1:2
28.09.2022
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
2:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avai | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Ceara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Goias | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Nautico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sport Recife | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Londrina | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sao Bernardo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Juventude | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico GO | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | CRB | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | America MG | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
