Result
1:1
16/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 37
- Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/395) | 77% (222/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/395) | 77% (222/287) |
| Long passes |
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| 48% (34/71) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 65% (70/108) | 64% (49/77) |
| Crosses |
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| 36% (5/14) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 27 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
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| 69% (9/13) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
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| 41 | 51 |
| Clearances |
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| 15 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
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| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.19 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.81 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Rafa Silva 🟨,
- 21', Yago Souza 🟨,
- 26', Max Alves 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yago Souza ↓, Rafa Barcelos ↑,
- 46', Max Alves ↓, Luisao ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Carlos Alberto ⚽, Victor Barbara (A),
- 58', 1 - 1, Willian Bigode ⚽, Rafa Silva (A),
- 66', De Lucca ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 76', Denilson Alves ↓, Gabriel Mineiro ↑,
- 76', Victor Barbara ↓, Eduardo Vinicius ↑,
- 78', Willian Bigode ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
- 82', Rafa Silva ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 84', Carlos Alberto ↓, Asad Y. ↑,
- 89', Thauan ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 89', Kaua Diniz ↓, Miqueias ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 34.5% | Draw 30.4% | Cuiabá 35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
América Mineiro - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.72 ↑ (2.32) |
3.03 ↓ (3.12) |
2.69 ↓ (3.03) |
6.9% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
- In recent matches, América MG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cuiabá's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, América MG is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Aloisio
(Thigh Injury)
Gustavo
(Yellow Cards)
Lucao
(Yellow Cards)
Maguinho
(Pelvis Injury)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Ortiz C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Inactive)
Asad Y.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus Pasinato
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in América MG: Fabinho
(Inactive)
Heber
(Inactive)
Julio Cesar
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, América MG won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Cuiabá?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against América Mineiro?
Cuiabá has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Cuiabá were as follows:
23.07.2025
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
3:1
15.09.2023
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
2:2
07.05.2023
América Mineiro
-
Cuiabá
1:2
28.09.2022
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
2:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 39:23 | 16 | 68 |
| 2 | Athletico-PR | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 53:43 | 10 | 65 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 52:35 | 17 | 62 |
| 4 | Remo | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 51:39 | 12 | 62 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:33 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Goias | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 61 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 60 |
| 8 | CRB | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 45:40 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Avai | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50:40 | 10 | 56 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:44 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 52 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:44 | -4 | 47 |
| 14 | America MG | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:44 | -3 | 46 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:53 | -10 | 44 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 32:52 | -20 | 42 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 38:55 | -17 | 36 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 36:52 | -16 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )