Result
3:1
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (149/220) | 82% (343/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (149/220) | 82% (343/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (16/54) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 69% (86/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 11% (4/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 35', Felipe Amaral ↓, Kaua Diniz ↑,
- 41', 0 - 1, Arthur Sousa ⚽,
- 45', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 45+4', Mariano 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Alisson Safira (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 1, Jader ⚽, Alisson Safira (A),
- 51', Miguel D. 🟨,
- 57', Marcelo Henrique ↓, Sander ↑,
- 57', Miguel D. ↓, Arthur Rezende ↑,
- 66', Jader ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
- 67', Arthur Sousa ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 67', Labandeira F. ↓, Heber ↑,
- 75', Carlos Alberto 🟨,
- 76', Elizari F. ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
- 78', Carlos Alberto ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 78', Leonardo Ataide ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
- 84', Bruno Alves 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 1, Juan Christian ⚽, Alisson Safira (A),
- 90+12', Kaua Diniz 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
40.7% | Draw
31.3% | América Mineiro
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Cuiabá - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2) |
2.99 ↓
(3.15) |
3.36 ↓
(3.7) |
7.2%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cuiabá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y.
(Injury)
Matheusinho
(Yellow Cards)
Max Alves
(Red Card)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
Samuel
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Injury)
Alisson Safira
(Injury)
Sander
(Injury)
- There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against América Mineiro?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Cuiabá?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - América Mineiro were as follows:
15.09.2023
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
2:2
07.05.2023
América Mineiro
-
Cuiabá
1:2
28.09.2022
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
2:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Goias | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 45 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 1 | 37 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 11 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | America MG | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 27 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
