Result
3:1
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.65 | 1.98 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
68% (149/220) | 82% (343/416) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.65 | 1.98 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.89 | 1.12 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
68% (149/220) | 82% (343/416) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (16/54) | 48% (21/44) |
Passes in final third |
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40% (19/47) | 69% (86/125) |
Crosses |
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43% (3/7) | 11% (4/36) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.31 | 0.48 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 31 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (8/16) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
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43 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
42 | 6 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.12 | 1.89 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.12 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 35', Felipe Amaral ↓, Kaua Diniz ↑,
- 41', 0 - 1, Arthur Sousa ⚽,
- 45', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 45+4', Mariano 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Alisson Safira (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 1, Jader ⚽, Alisson Safira (A),
- 51', Miguel D. 🟨,
- 57', Marcelo Henrique ↓, Sander ↑,
- 57', Miguel D. ↓, Arthur Rezende ↑,
- 66', Jader ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
- 67', Arthur Sousa ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 67', Labandeira F. ↓, Heber ↑,
- 75', Carlos Alberto 🟨,
- 76', Elizari F. ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
- 78', Carlos Alberto ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 78', Leonardo Ataide ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
- 84', Bruno Alves 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 1, Juan Christian ⚽, Alisson Safira (A),
- 90+12', Kaua Diniz 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá 40.7% | Draw 31.3% | América Mineiro 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Cuiabá - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (2) |
2.99 ↓ (3.15) |
3.36 ↓ (3.7) |
7.2% (8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cuiabá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y.
(Injury)
Matheusinho
(Yellow Cards)
Max Alves
(Red Card)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
Samuel
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Injury)
Alisson Safira
(Injury)
Sander
(Injury)
- There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against América Mineiro?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Cuiabá?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - América Mineiro were as follows:
15.09.2023
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
2:2
07.05.2023
América Mineiro
-
Cuiabá
1:2
28.09.2022
Cuiabá
-
América Mineiro
2:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Criciuma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
11 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
12 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Operario-PR | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )