Cuiabá vs América Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Cuiabá - América Mineiro
Result
3:1
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.98
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
68% (149/220)82% (343/416)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.12
Total shots
813
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
118
Passes
68% (149/220)82% (343/416)
Long passes
30% (16/54)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
40% (19/47)69% (86/125)
Crosses
43% (3/7)11% (4/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.48
Throw-ins
2331
Fouls
811
Tackles
50% (8/16)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4341
Clearances
426
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.121.89
Goals prevented
0.12-1.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', Felipe Amaral , Kaua Diniz ,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Arthur Sousa ,
  • 45', Cauan Barros 🟨,
  • 45+4', Mariano 🟨,
  • 45+6', 1 - 1, Alisson Safira (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Jader , Alisson Safira (A),
  • 51', Miguel D. 🟨,
  • 57', Marcelo Henrique , Sander ,
  • 57', Miguel D. , Arthur Rezende ,
  • 66', Jader , Victor Barbara ,
  • 67', Arthur Sousa , Stenio ,
  • 67', Labandeira F. , Heber ,
  • 75', Carlos Alberto 🟨,
  • 76', Elizari F. , Willian Bigode ,
  • 78', Carlos Alberto , Juan Christian ,
  • 78', Leonardo Ataide , Guilherme Mariano ,
  • 84', Bruno Alves 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Juan Christian , Alisson Safira (A),
  • 90+12', Kaua Diniz 🟥,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
40.7%
Draw
31.3%
América Mineiro
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 29.6% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.
  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Cuiabá - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2)
    2.99
    (3.15)
    3.36
    (3.7)
    7.2%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cuiabá - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cuiabá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Injury) Matheusinho (Yellow Cards) Max Alves (Red Card) Pedrinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Fabinho (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Renato Marques (Inactive) Samuel (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Injury) Alisson Safira (Injury) Sander (Injury)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - América Mineiro were as follows:
    15.09.2023 Cuiabá - América Mineiro 2:2
    07.05.2023 América Mineiro - Cuiabá 1:2
    28.09.2022 Cuiabá - América Mineiro 2:1
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    19.07.2025 Goiás - Cuiabá 3:1
    15.07.2025 Cuiabá - Amazonas 3:1
    05.07.2025 Remo - Cuiabá 0:0
    30.06.2025 Cuiabá - Botafogo SP 0:1
    22.06.2025 Coritiba - Cuiabá 2:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma1985623:17629
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10CRB1974820:18225
    11Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    12Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    13Operario-PR1965821:20123
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG19631020:26-621
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

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