Result
1:0
29/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chile | MEGOGO |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 515 | 446 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 438 | 350 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Hercules ⚽,
- 45+6', Pitta I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Marinho 🟨,
- 55', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Denilson Alves ↑,
- 55', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Railan ↑,
- 62', Denilson Alves 🟨,
- 68', Clayson ↓, Derik Lacerda ↑,
- 70', Andrade K. ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 70', Marinho ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 72', Britez E. 🟨,
- 83', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Eliel ↑,
- 83', Fernando Sobral ↓, Max Alves ↑,
- 87', Alan Empereur 🟨,
- 90+1', Mancuso E. ↓, Tinga ↑,
- 90+1', Breno Lopes ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza 55.1% | Draw 26.8% | Cuiabá 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Fortaleza - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↑ (1.69) |
3.51 ↓ (3.74) |
5.31 ↑ (5.03) |
5.5% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1.
- Fortaleza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Cuiabá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Cuiabá have a series of home games.
- In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruno Pacheco
(Injury)
Moises
(Injury)
Santos
(Injury)
Ze Welison
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Andre Luis
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Marllon
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Cuiabá?
Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Fortaleza?
Cuiabá has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Cuiabá were as follows:
16.06.2024
Cuiabá
-
Fortaleza
5:0
12.11.2023
Cuiabá
-
Fortaleza
2:1
16.07.2023
Fortaleza
-
Cuiabá
0:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet