Result
1:1
02/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 30
- Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/471) | 78% (228/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/471) | 78% (228/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (40/59) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (85/125) | 60% (35/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Calebe Costa ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
- 32', 0 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽, David Miguel (A),
- 45+2', Reverson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Denilson ↓, Rossi ↑,
- 59', Carlos Alberto ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 65', Denner ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 65', Ronaldo Henrique ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
- 65', Andre Lima ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
- 69', Petterson Novaes 🟨,
- 73', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 74', Alisson Safira ↓, Nathan Cruz ↑,
- 74', Martinez A. ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
- 75', Matheusinho ↓, Nino Paraiba ↑,
- 81', Marlon Douglas ↓, Wendel ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Mauricio Garcez (Pen),
- 90+2', Guilherme Mariano 🟨,
- 90+8', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu
32% | Draw
31.3% | Cuiabá
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cuiabá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cuiabá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paysandu - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.4) |
2.99 ↓
(3.24) |
2.56 ↓
(2.99) |
6.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Cuiabá (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 6).
- Paysandu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cuiabá is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Leandro Vilela
(Injury)
Matheus Vargas
(Injury)
Thiago Heleno
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Yellow Cards)
Asad Y.
(Injury)
Jader
(Yellow Cards)
Juan Christian
(Yellow Cards)
Mateus Pasinato
(Inactive)
Nathan Pelae
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Diogo Oliveira
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Cuiabá?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Paysandu?
Cuiabá has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Cuiabá were as follows:
06.06.2025
Cuiabá
-
Paysandu
1:0
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
