Result
1:0
06/06/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 2.44 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
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| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
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| 84% (392/464) | 67% (171/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 2.44 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.10 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
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| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 31 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
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| 84% (392/464) | 67% (171/254) |
| Long passes |
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| 53% (25/47) | 31% (17/54) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 63% (78/123) | 40% (22/55) |
| Crosses |
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| 47% (14/30) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.35 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
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| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 56% (5/9) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 61 | 45 |
| Clearances |
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| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.56 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.56 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
- 57', Juan Christian 🟨,
- 60', Edu ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
- 60', Max Alves ↓, David ↑,
- 60', Leonardo Ataide ↓, Marcelo Henrique ↑,
- 63', Patric Calmon ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 64', Marcelinho ↓, Petterson ↑,
- 67', Guilherme Mariano 🟨,
- 73', Benitez J. ↓, Wendel ↑,
- 75', Wendel 🟨,
- 76', Denilson Alves ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 76', Juan Christian ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
- 82', 1 - 0, Lucas Mineiro ⚽,
- 87', Marlon Douglas ↓, Monteiro A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
57.1% | Draw
26.7% | Paysandu
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Cuiabá - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.7) |
3.49 ↓
(3.5) |
5.74 ↑
(4.75) |
7.2%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 41.5% – 84.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 50%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In recent matches, Cuiabá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paysandu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Cuiabá is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Paysandu?
Cuiabá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Cuiabá?
Paysandu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Paysandu were as follows:
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
