Result
1:0
06/06/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.44 | 0.36 |
Ball Possession |
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65% | 35% |
Total shots |
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22 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Passes |
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84% (392/464) | 67% (171/254) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.44 | 0.36 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.10 | 0.56 |
Total shots |
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22 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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15 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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31 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 15 |
Passes |
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84% (392/464) | 67% (171/254) |
Long passes |
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53% (25/47) | 31% (17/54) |
Passes in final third |
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63% (78/123) | 40% (22/55) |
Crosses |
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47% (14/30) | 57% (4/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.35 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 22 |
Fouls |
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15 | 13 |
Tackles |
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56% (5/9) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
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61 | 45 |
Clearances |
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14 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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0.56 | 1.10 |
Goals prevented |
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0.56 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
- 57', Juan Christian 🟨,
- 60', Edu ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
- 60', Max Alves ↓, David ↑,
- 60', Leonardo Ataide ↓, Marcelo Henrique ↑,
- 63', Patric Calmon ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 64', Marcelinho ↓, Petterson ↑,
- 67', Guilherme Mariano 🟨,
- 73', Benitez J. ↓, Wendel ↑,
- 75', Wendel 🟨,
- 76', Denilson Alves ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 76', Juan Christian ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
- 82', 1 - 0, Lucas Mineiro ⚽,
- 87', Marlon Douglas ↓, Monteiro A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá 57.1% | Draw 26.7% | Paysandu 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Cuiabá - Paysandu Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↓ (1.7) |
3.49 ↓ (3.5) |
5.74 ↑ (4.75) |
7.2% (8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 41.5% – 84.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 50%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In recent matches, Cuiabá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paysandu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Cuiabá is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Paysandu?
Cuiabá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Cuiabá?
Paysandu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Paysandu were as follows:
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
3 | Novorizontino | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Cuiaba | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
6 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
15 | America MG | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 20 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
18 | Amazonas | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )