Cuiabá vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Cuiabá - Paysandu
Result
1:0
06/06/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.36
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
84% (392/464)67% (171/254)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.56
Total shots
228
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
319
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
84% (392/464)67% (171/254)
Long passes
53% (25/47)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)40% (22/55)
Crosses
47% (14/30)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.50
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1513
Tackles
56% (5/9)70% (7/10)
Duels won
6145
Clearances
1431
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.561.10
Goals prevented
0.56-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
  • 57', Juan Christian 🟨,
  • 60', Edu , Alisson Safira ,
  • 60', Max Alves , David ,
  • 60', Leonardo Ataide , Marcelo Henrique ,
  • 63', Patric Calmon , Edilson ,
  • 64', Marcelinho , Petterson ,
  • 67', Guilherme Mariano 🟨,
  • 73', Benitez J. , Wendel ,
  • 75', Wendel 🟨,
  • 76', Denilson Alves , Jadson ,
  • 76', Juan Christian , Lucas Mineiro ,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Lucas Mineiro ,
  • 87', Marlon Douglas , Monteiro A. ,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
57.1%
Draw
26.7%
Paysandu
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 26.3% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 25.7% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Cuiabá - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.7)
    3.49
    (3.5)
    5.74
    (4.75)
    7.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 50%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In recent matches, Cuiabá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paysandu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Cuiabá is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cuiabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    26.05.2025 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 1:0
    16.05.2025 Chapecoense - Cuiabá 2:1
    06.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Cuiabá 1:1
    Latest results of Paysandu
    02.06.2025 Paysandu - Criciúma 0:1
    21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0
    18.05.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Remo25911527:22538
    6Novorizontino2499626:23336
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17America MG24741325:32-725
    18Amazonas25591126:37-1124
    19Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )