Result
2:1
15/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 5
- Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (254/353) | 78% (333/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (254/353) | 78% (333/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (42/84) | 49% (43/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (65/105) | 68% (97/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Miladinovic U. ⚽,
- 44', Jocic V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Jocic V. ↓, Trajkovic A. ↑,
- 59', Stojanovic S. ↓, Mulato J. ↑,
- 59', Stojanovic L. ↓, Nikcevic B. ↑,
- 59', Mehmedovic E. ↓, Ebuka ↑,
- 64', Mbong P. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
- 64', Matijasevic F. ↓, Radosavljevic V. ↑,
- 70', Tomovic S. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Babic I. ⚽, Ebuka (A),
- 76', 2 - 1, Miladinovic U. ⚽, Tedic S. (A),
- 78', Leo Antonio ↓, Milunovic N. ↑,
- 82', Tedic S. ↓, Djokovic M. ↑,
- 84', Nikcevic B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Čukarički
52.9% | Draw
25.9% | Spartak Subotica
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Spartak Subotica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (-2%)
Čukarički - Spartak Subotica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75
(1.75) |
3.58 ↓
(3.6) |
4.39 ↓
(4.9) |
7.7%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Čukarički - Spartak Subotica?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Čukarički will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Spartak Subotica will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Čukarički won 1.
- Čukarički is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Spartak Subotica's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Čukarički is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Čukarički won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Čukarički won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:11. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Čukarički won against Spartak Subotica?
Čukarički has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Subotica won against Čukarički?
Spartak Subotica has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Čukarički - Spartak Subotica were as follows:
28.04.2025
Čukarički
-
Spartak Subotica
0:0
29.11.2024
Čukarički
-
Spartak Subotica
1:2
28.07.2024
Spartak Subotica
-
Čukarički
1:1
12.03.2024
Čukarički
-
Spartak Subotica
2:2
30.09.2023
Spartak Subotica
-
Čukarički
0:3
Latest results of Čukarički
Latest results of Spartak Subotica
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30:5 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Partizan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | TSC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Mladost | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Javor | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Radnik | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Napredak | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Sp. Subotica | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
