Result
1:1
26/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (276/334) | 78% (257/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (276/334) | 78% (257/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (63/92) | 69% (70/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Meite Y. ⚽, Al Obaid A. (A),
- 31', Al Swealem A. 🟨,
- 32', Al Anazi D. 🟨,
- 35', Al Jari Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Qasim H. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 48', Harkass J. 🟨,
- 56', Abdullah T. 🟨,
- 63', Abdullah T. ↓, Okita J. ↑,
- 63', Al Qahtani A. ↓, Al Salkhadi M. ↑,
- 75', Al Anazi D. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Batna M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', 🟨,
- 80', Al Zubaidi F. ↓, Wesley Delgado ↑,
- 81', Al Swealem A. ↓, Ramos Jefferson ↑,
- 86', Meite Y. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
- 86', Al Aboud M. ↓, Al Othman O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
46.6% | Draw
27% | Damac
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Fateh's form might have worsened.Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damac than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Al Fateh - Damac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.79) |
3.48 ↓
(3.79) |
3.54 ↓
(4.05) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Damac?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al Fateh will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Fateh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 2.
- Recent performances by Al Fateh have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Damac is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Damac has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al Fateh is the team to beat.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Damac?
Al Fateh has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Damac won against Al Fateh?
Damac has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Damac were as follows:
30.10.2025
Damac
-
Al Fateh
1:1
22.05.2025
Damac
-
Al Fateh
0:1
22.01.2025
Al Fateh
-
Damac
2:1
23.02.2024
Al Fateh
-
Damac
1:1
29.08.2023
Damac
-
Al Fateh
2:2
Latest results of Al Fateh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 76:21 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 23:57 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25:66 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
