Result
2:1
28/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
Chances of winning
Emelec
60.5% | Draw
23.5% | Danubio
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Danubio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danubio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Emelec - Danubio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.79) |
3.99 ↑
(3.6) |
5.77 ↑
(4.17) |
6.8%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Emelec - Danubio?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 60.6% – 97.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Emelec is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Danubio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Emelec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Emelec is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Emelec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Danubio?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Emelec?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Danubio were as follows:
05.04.2023
Danubio
-
Emelec
2:0
Latest results of Danubio
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
