Emelec vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Emelec
60.5%
Draw
23.5%
Danubio
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.8% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 27.1% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Danubio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danubio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Emelec - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.79)
    3.99
    (3.6)
    5.77
    (4.17)
    6.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Emelec - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 60.6%97.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Emelec is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Danubio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Emelec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Emelec is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Emelec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Danubio were as follows:
    05.04.2023 Danubio - Emelec 2:0
    Latest results of Emelec
    18.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 3:2
    12.06.2023 Emelec - Gualaceo 0:0
    07.06.2023 Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion 1:1
    29.05.2023 Emelec - Guayaquil City 0:0
    Latest results of Danubio
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1Nacional AsuncionRecoleta
    2Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia Asuncion
    3Alianza Atl.Deportivo Garcilaso
    4CiencianoFBC Melgar
    5Montevideo CityDefensor Sp.
    6Boston RiverRacing Montevideo
    7Puerto CabelloMonagas
    8CaracasMetropolitanos
    9U. De ChilePalestino
    10CobresalA. Italiano
    11Atl. NacionalMillonarios
    12America De CaliBucaramanga
    13IndependienteGuabira
    14BloomingSA Bulo Bulo
    15Dep. CuencaLibertad
    16OrenseMacara