Emelec vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Emelec - Danubio
Result
2:1
28/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Emelec
60.5%
Draw
23.5%
Danubio
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.8% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 27.1% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Danubio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danubio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Emelec - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.79)
    3.99
    (3.6)
    5.77
    (4.17)
    6.8%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Emelec - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 60.6%97.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Emelec is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Danubio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Emelec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Emelec is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Emelec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Danubio were as follows:
    05.04.2023 Danubio - Emelec 2:0
    Latest results of Emelec
    18.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 3:2
    12.06.2023 Emelec - Gualaceo 0:0
    07.06.2023 Emelec - Guaraní Asuncion 1:1
    29.05.2023 Emelec - Guayaquil City 0:0
    Latest results of Danubio
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2