Result
1:3
17/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (273/319) | 90% (508/566) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (273/319) | 90% (508/566) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 77% (23/30) | 63% (38/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (76/100) | 68% (53/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Mero E. ⚽, Ayovi Caicedo J. J. (A),
- 28', Pizzini F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 28', 1 - 1, Klimowicz L. ⚽,
- 41', Guerrico I. 🟨,
- 45+1', Mina A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Neris J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Herrera O. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Diaz D. ⚽, Ayovi Caicedo J. J. (A),
- 68', Pizzini F. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 68', Guerrico I. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 71', Laurino S. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
- 71', Gonzalez P. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
- 73', Griffith V. 🟨,
- 82', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 3, Diaz D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Klimowicz L. ↓, Gonzaga J. ↑,
- 86', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
- 86', Mina A. ↓, Segura E. ↑,
- 87', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 89', Diaz D. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Emelec
52.7% | Draw
28.1% | Guayaquil City
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Emelec - Guayaquil City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76
(1.76) |
3.31 ↓
(3.34) |
4.79 ↓
(4.95) |
7.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - Guayaquil City?
Users Predictions:
Emelec will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 2.
- Emelec is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guayaquil City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Emelec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Emelec is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:11. (average 1.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Guayaquil City?
Emelec has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guayaquil City won against Emelec?
Guayaquil City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Guayaquil City were as follows:
22.10.2025
Guayaquil City
-
Emelec
0:1
04.11.2023
Guayaquil City
-
Emelec
0:0
29.05.2023
Emelec
-
Guayaquil City
0:0
11.02.2023
Emelec
-
Guayaquil City
2:0
Latest results of Guayaquil City
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
