Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Disney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Disney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
35
Yellow cards
41
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
77
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', Levato M. 🟨,
  • 20', Zazpe L. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Peralta M. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Zazpe L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Levato M. , Luna J. ,
  • 50', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Luna J. , Furtado N. (A),
  • 68', Rossi I. , Costantino I. ,
  • 70', Benitez S. 🟨,
  • 74', Zeballos J. , Garcia A. ,
  • 77', Mayada C. , Balatti F. ,
  • 77', Cavanagh T. , Pereyra J. ,
  • 77', Peralta M. , Montana A. ,
  • 80', Urretaviscaya J. , Labandeira F. ,
  • 88', Benitez S. , Acosta M. ,
  • 89', Cabrera E. , Femia E. ,
  • 90', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montevideo Wanderers
30.6%
Draw
31.5%
Danubio
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 30.9% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 29.8% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (3.3)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    2.46
    (2.22)
    7.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Danubio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio 0:2
    16.03.2025 Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers 2:1
    28.09.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio 2:2
    24.03.2024 Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers 0:2
    06.03.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio 0:1
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1393122:111130
    2Maldonado1372421:15623
    3Penarol1372419:13623
    4Albion1364322:14822
    5Central Esp1363420:20021
    6Defensor Sp1355311:8320
    7Montevideo City1354419:14519
    8Nacional1361620:18219
    9Danubio1346317:17018
    10Liverpool M1345417:17017
    11Wanderers1352614:19-517
    12Cerro Largo1342713:16-314
    13Boston River1342711:17-614
    14Progreso1324711:20-910
    15CA Cerro132478:19-1110
    16Juventud1323813:20-79

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