Liverpool Montevideo vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio
Result
0:0
03/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
710
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
49
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Arguello M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Napoli G. 🟨,
  • 62', Acosta L. , Castro M. ,
  • 68', Sanseviero L. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 68', Peralta M. , Azambuja N. ,
  • 75', Femia E. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 76', Romero S. , Amaro J. ,
  • 77', Napoli G. , Catarozzi F. ,
  • 80', Sanchez V. 🟨,
  • 85', Sanchez V. , Nunez S. ,
  • 87', Perdomo F. , Forclaz E. ,
  • 90+4', Catarozzi F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool Montevideo
46.5%
Draw
29.9%
Danubio
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.8% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 26.1% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liverpool Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danubio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.08)
    3.09
    (3.22)
    3.94
    (3.47)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: Liverpool Montevideo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1.
    • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Danubio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Liverpool is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo 1:1
    22.09.2024 Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo 1:0
    28.07.2024 Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo 2:0
    10.03.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio 1:2
    26.08.2023 Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio 1:0
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo33005:149
    2Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    3Boston River42207:258
    4Liverpool M32103:127
    5Penarol32016:336
    6Racing Montevideo32013:216
    7Juventud42024:5-16
    8Nacional42118:624
    9CA Cerro31113:214
    10Danubio31112:204
    11Montevideo City31115:6-14
    12Miramar31024:403
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16Progreso30033:7-40

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