Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
- 28', Cavanagh T. 🟨,
- 39', Cavanagh T. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rodriguez L. ↓, Dos Santos A. ↑,
- 53', Lodeiro N. 🟥,
- 56', 0 - 1, Peralta M. ⚽,
- 61', Rodriguez N. 🟨,
- 66', Fernandez S. ↓, Azambuja N. ↑,
- 66', Ferreira M. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
- 66', Rodriguez N. ↓, Veron T. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Rogel A. ⚽, Veron T. (A),
- 71', Boggio L. 🟨,
- 74', Rinaldi M. ↓, Jourdan M. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez S. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Cabrera E. ⚽, Jourdan M. (A),
- 80', Peralta M. 🟨,
- 82', Coates S. 🟨,
- 83', Boggio L. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 88', Barcia B. ↓, Pintado J. ↑,
- 88', Lopez N. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
- 90', Azambuja N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
54.2% | Draw
25.9% | Danubio
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Nacional Montevideo - Danubio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.73) |
3.61 ↑
(3.6) |
4.67 ↑
(4.64) |
7.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Danubio?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Danubio will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Danubio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Danubio?
Nacional Montevideo has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Nacional Montevideo?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Danubio were as follows:
12.10.2025
Danubio
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:0
29.06.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
3:2
13.04.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
2:0
27.11.2024
Danubio
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:0
13.07.2024
Danubio
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:6
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Danubio
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
