DC United vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.52
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
413
Passes
73% (160/219)91% (514/562)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.551.04
Total shots
813
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
413
Touches in opposition box
1642
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
73% (160/219)91% (514/562)
Long passes
56% (28/50)82% (50/61)
Passes in final third
57% (33/58)87% (208/238)
Crosses
30% (3/10)5% (1/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.63
Throw-ins
520
Fouls
1413
Tackles
78% (18/23)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
2713
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.040.55
Goals prevented
0.040.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Barraza L. 🟥,
  • 23', Schnegg D. , Farr J. ,
  • 30', Herrera A. 🟥,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Zaha W. , Petkovic N. (A),
  • 37', Byrne N. 🟨,
  • 42', Hopkins J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Peglow , Stroud J. ,
  • 58', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 61', Stroud J. 🟨,
  • 71', Gabriel Pirani , Clark C. ,
  • 71', Benteke C. , Badji D. ,
  • 71', Bartlett L. , MacNaughton L. ,
  • 74', Petkovic N. , Goodwin A. ,
  • 75', Zaha W. 🟨,
  • 82', Williamson E. 🟨,
  • 89', Williamson E. , Coulibaly B. ,
  • 89', Privett A. , Tuiloma B. ,

Chances of winning


DC United
39.1%
Draw
26.2%
Charlotte
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 24.8% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 24.3% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in DC United's performance.
  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with DC United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • DC United - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.89)
    3.63
    (3.73)
    2.73
    (2.15)
    5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for DC United - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Charlotte will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - DC United (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Charlotte will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. DC United (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Charlotte (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury) Servania B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Bronico B. (Yellow Cards) Malanda A. (Red Card) Toffolo H. (Muscle Injury) Westwood A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Charlotte were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1
    21.05.2025 DC United - Charlotte 4:3
    19.10.2024 DC United - Charlotte 0:3
    15.06.2024 Charlotte - DC United 1:0
    16.09.2023 Charlotte - DC United 0:0
    Latest results of DC United
    20.09.2025 Inter Miami - DC United 3:2
    13.09.2025 DC United - Orlando City 1:1
    30.08.2025 New York City - DC United 1:2
    23.08.2025 DC United - Inter Miami 1:1
    Latest results of Charlotte
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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