DC United vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.52
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
413
Passes
73% (160/219)91% (514/562)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.551.04
Total shots
813
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
413
Touches in opposition box
1642
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
73% (160/219)91% (514/562)
Long passes
56% (28/50)82% (50/61)
Passes in final third
57% (33/58)87% (208/238)
Crosses
30% (3/10)5% (1/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.63
Throw-ins
520
Fouls
1413
Tackles
78% (18/23)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
2713
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.040.55
Goals prevented
0.040.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Barraza L. 🟥,
  • 23', Schnegg D. , Farr J. ,
  • 30', Herrera A. 🟥,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Zaha W. , Petkovic N. (A),
  • 37', Byrne N. 🟨,
  • 42', Hopkins J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Peglow , Stroud J. ,
  • 58', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 61', Stroud J. 🟨,
  • 71', Gabriel Pirani , Clark C. ,
  • 71', Benteke C. , Badji D. ,
  • 71', Bartlett L. , MacNaughton L. ,
  • 74', Petkovic N. , Goodwin A. ,
  • 75', Zaha W. 🟨,
  • 82', Williamson E. 🟨,
  • 89', Williamson E. , Coulibaly B. ,
  • 89', Privett A. , Tuiloma B. ,

Chances of winning


DC United
39.1%
Draw
26.2%
Charlotte
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 24.8% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 24.3% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in DC United's performance.
  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with DC United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • DC United - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.89)
    3.63
    (3.73)
    2.73
    (2.15)
    5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for DC United - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Charlotte will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - DC United (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlotte will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. DC United (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Charlotte (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury) Servania B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Bronico B. (Yellow Cards) Malanda A. (Red Card) Toffolo H. (Muscle Injury) Westwood A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Charlotte were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1
    21.05.2025 DC United - Charlotte 4:3
    19.10.2024 DC United - Charlotte 0:3
    15.06.2024 Charlotte - DC United 1:0
    16.09.2023 Charlotte - DC United 0:0
    Latest results of DC United
    20.09.2025 Inter Miami - DC United 3:2
    13.09.2025 DC United - Orlando City 1:1
    30.08.2025 New York City - DC United 1:2
    23.08.2025 DC United - Inter Miami 1:1
    Latest results of Charlotte
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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