DC United vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.52
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
413
Passes
73% (160/219)91% (514/562)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.551.04
Total shots
813
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
413
Touches in opposition box
1642
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
73% (160/219)91% (514/562)
Long passes
56% (28/50)82% (50/61)
Passes in final third
57% (33/58)87% (208/238)
Crosses
30% (3/10)5% (1/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.63
Throw-ins
520
Fouls
1413
Tackles
78% (18/23)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
2713
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.040.55
Goals prevented
0.040.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Barraza L. 🟥,
  • 23', Schnegg D. , Farr J. ,
  • 30', Herrera A. 🟥,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Zaha W. , Petkovic N. (A),
  • 37', Byrne N. 🟨,
  • 42', Hopkins J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Peglow , Stroud J. ,
  • 58', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 61', Stroud J. 🟨,
  • 71', Gabriel Pirani , Clark C. ,
  • 71', Benteke C. , Badji D. ,
  • 71', Bartlett L. , MacNaughton L. ,
  • 74', Petkovic N. , Goodwin A. ,
  • 75', Zaha W. 🟨,
  • 82', Williamson E. 🟨,
  • 89', Williamson E. , Coulibaly B. ,
  • 89', Privett A. , Tuiloma B. ,

Chances of winning


DC United
39.1%
Draw
26.2%
Charlotte
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 24.8% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 24.3% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in DC United's performance.
  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with DC United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • DC United - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.89)
    3.63
    (3.73)
    2.73
    (2.15)
    5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for DC United - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Charlotte will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - DC United (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlotte will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. DC United (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Charlotte (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury) Servania B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Bronico B. (Yellow Cards) Malanda A. (Red Card) Toffolo H. (Muscle Injury) Westwood A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Charlotte were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1
    21.05.2025 DC United - Charlotte 4:3
    19.10.2024 DC United - Charlotte 0:3
    15.06.2024 Charlotte - DC United 1:0
    16.09.2023 Charlotte - DC United 0:0
    Latest results of DC United
    20.09.2025 Inter Miami - DC United 3:2
    13.09.2025 DC United - Orlando City 1:1
    30.08.2025 New York City - DC United 1:2
    23.08.2025 DC United - Inter Miami 1:1
    Latest results of Charlotte
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)