Result
03/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Chances of winning
New York City
54.3% | Draw
25.4% | DC United
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
New York City - DC United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.58) |
3.73 ↓
(3.9) |
4.69 ↓
(5.48) |
5.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New York City - DC United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
New York City will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- DC United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
- There will not play in NY City: Baiera D.
(Knee Injury)
Gray T.
(Red Card)
Martinez A.
(Knee Injury)
Wolf H.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in DC United: Karamoko H.
(Illness)
Nealis S.
(Broken collarbone)
Segal G.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against DC United?
New York City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has DC United won against New York City?
DC United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - DC United were as follows:
30.08.2025
New York City
-
DC United
1:2
14.05.2025
DC United
-
New York City
0:0
14.09.2024
DC United
-
New York City
1:1
20.04.2024
New York City
-
DC United
2:0
07.10.2023
DC United
-
New York City
2:0
Latest results of New York City
Latest results of DC United
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
