DC United vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.28
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
81% (364/452)80% (409/514)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.081.68
Total shots
711
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
03
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1720
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
81% (364/452)80% (409/514)
Long passes
35% (22/62)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
62% (61/98)57% (63/110)
Crosses
22% (4/18)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.35
Throw-ins
2822
Fouls
1210
Tackles
53% (10/19)82% (18/22)
Duels won
6062
Clearances
4527
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.681.08
Goals prevented
-0.321.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Harper C. , Forsberg E. (A), Carmona W. (A2)
  • 44', Stroud P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tubbs G. , Peltola M. ,
  • 46', Servania B. , Hopkins J. ,
  • 59', Kijima H. , Stroud J. ,
  • 59', Murrell J. , Fletcher K. ,
  • 76', Gabriel Pirani 🟨,
  • 77', Stroud J. 🟨,
  • 79', Carmona W. , Sofo M. ,
  • 79', Forsberg E. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 82', Harper C. 🟨,
  • 84', Choupo-Moting E. M. 🟨,
  • 85', Sofo M. 🟨,
  • 87', Stroud P. , Donkor R. ,
  • 90+3', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, Sofo M. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


DC United
36%
Draw
28.4%
New York Red Bulls
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 26.5% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 26.1% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that DC United's form might have worsened.
  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for DC United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • DC United - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.31)
    3.36
    (3.6)
    2.71
    (2.96)
    5.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for DC United - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 25%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. DC United (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - NY Red Bulls (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - NY Red Bulls (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. DC United (votes: 2 - 50%). NY Red Bulls (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in DC United: Badji D. (Thigh Injury) Benteke C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Gabriel Pirani (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morgan L. (Knee Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    19.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - DC United 1:2
    29.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - DC United 2:2
    15.05.2024 DC United - New York Red Bulls 1:4
    23.09.2023 DC United - New York Red Bulls 3:5
    20.08.2023 New York Red Bulls - DC United 1:0
    Latest results of DC United
    21.05.2025 DC United - Charlotte 4:3
    17.05.2025 Nashville SC - DC United 0:0
    14.05.2025 DC United - New York City 0:0
    10.05.2025 Toronto FC - DC United 2:0
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

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