De Graafschap vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie De Graafschap - Almere City
Result
3:2
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 9
  • Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.64
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
88
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
83% (430/521)80% (331/412)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.252.74
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2937
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
139
Passes
83% (430/521)80% (331/412)
Long passes
43% (33/76)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
65% (75/116)66% (80/121)
Crosses
25% (2/8)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.95
Throw-ins
824
Fouls
913
Tackles
67% (12/18)56% (10/18)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
4825
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
2.742.25
Goals prevented
0.74-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Niemeijer R. ,
  • 18', Symons K. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Rijkhoff J. , de Haan M. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 1, El Kadiri I. , Besselink R. (A),
  • 29', 3 - 1, Niemeijer R. , El Kadiri I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 52', 3 - 2, Burgering B. , de Haan M. (A),
  • 54', de Haan M. 🟨,
  • 59', Simons J. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 68', Boersma B. , Bultman S. ,
  • 69', Meerstadt J. , Braem T. ,
  • 74', Beaumont G. 🟨,
  • 76', Engel M. , el Dahri H. ,
  • 77', de Haan M. , Huisman B. ,
  • 77', Beaumont G. , Poku E. ,
  • 77', Burgering B. , Vianello T. ,
  • 85', Rijkhoff J. 🟨,
  • 89', El Kadiri I. , de Jong F. ,
  • 90', van der Zeeuw T. , de Nijs O. ,
  • 90', Rijkhoff J. , Bais A. ,
  • 90+9', el Dahri H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
48.5%
Draw
22.6%
Almere City
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 25.5% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 25.5% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.
  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with De Graafschap that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • De Graafschap - Almere City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.43)
    4.08
    (3.68)
    3.24
    (2.62)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Almere City?
  • Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • De Graafschap might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Druijf F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Almere City were as follows:
    20.01.2023 Almere City - De Graafschap 2:2
    16.09.2022 De Graafschap - Almere City 1:2
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Latest results of Almere City
    26.09.2025 Almere City - Jong Utrecht 4:0
    19.09.2025 ADO Den Haag - Almere City 2:1
    15.09.2025 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 5:0
    12.09.2025 Almere City - Jong PSV 2:4
    30.08.2025 Waalwijk - Almere City 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag12111035:82734
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Willem II1262415:19-420
    7Den Bosch1362524:27-320
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1242613:19-614
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

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