Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 23
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (279/361) | 84% (408/487) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (279/361) | 84% (408/487) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 60% (37/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (81/119) | 69% (80/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 10% (3/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Boersma B. 🟨,
- 57', van der Heide A. 🟨,
- 60', El Allachi C. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 60', Raterink O. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Kadile J. ⚽,
- 76', Meerstadt J. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
- 76', van der Heide A. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
- 81', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 84', Symons K. ↓, Kaninda N. ↑,
- 88', Druijf F. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
Chances of winning
Almere City
48.7% | Draw
24.3% | De Graafschap
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and De Graafschap might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Almere City - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.12) |
3.82 ↓
(3.88) |
3.44 ↑
(2.88) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Almere City - De Graafschap?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against De Graafschap?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Almere City?
De Graafschap has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - De Graafschap were as follows:
29.09.2025
De Graafschap
-
Almere City
3:2
20.01.2023
Almere City
-
De Graafschap
2:2
16.09.2022
De Graafschap
-
Almere City
1:2
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
