Result
3:2
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 9
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (430/521) | 80% (331/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 2.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 29 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (430/521) | 80% (331/412) |
| Long passes |
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| 43% (33/76) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 65% (75/116) | 66% (80/121) |
| Crosses |
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| 25% (2/8) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.08 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 8 | 24 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (12/18) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
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| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances |
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| 48 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.74 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.74 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Niemeijer R. ⚽,
- 18', Symons K. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, de Haan M. (A),
- 20', 2 - 1, El Kadiri I. ⚽, Besselink R. (A),
- 29', 3 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 52', 3 - 2, Burgering B. ⚽, de Haan M. (A),
- 54', de Haan M. 🟨,
- 59', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
- 68', Boersma B. ↓, Bultman S. ↑,
- 69', Meerstadt J. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
- 74', Beaumont G. 🟨,
- 76', Engel M. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
- 77', de Haan M. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
- 77', Beaumont G. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 77', Burgering B. ↓, Vianello T. ↑,
- 85', Rijkhoff J. 🟨,
- 89', El Kadiri I. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 90', van der Zeeuw T. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 90', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Bais A. ↑,
- 90+9', el Dahri H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
De Graafschap
48.5% | Draw
22.6% | Almere City
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with De Graafschap that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
De Graafschap - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.43) |
4.08 ↑
(3.68) |
3.24 ↑
(2.62) |
6.3%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- De Graafschap might have a minor edge in this game.
- There are questionable in Almere City: Druijf F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Almere City?
De Graafschap has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against De Graafschap?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Almere City were as follows:
20.01.2023
Almere City
-
De Graafschap
2:2
16.09.2022
De Graafschap
-
Almere City
1:2
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
