Result
1:0
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/435) | 64% (181/281) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/435) | 64% (181/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 35% (22/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (69/97) | 47% (55/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
- 62', El Kadiri I. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
- 62', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
- 65', Dundas N. 🟨,
- 75', El Arguioui R. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
- 75', Kaninda N. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
- 75', Martens N. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, de Jong F. ⚽,
- 88', den Boggende T. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
- 88', Demircan E. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
- 88', van der Wegen S. ↓, Beulens N. ↑,
- 90', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
- 90+2', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Wieggers T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
De Graafschap
58.9% | Draw
19.9% | Jong Utrecht
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.74) |
4.76 ↑
(4.2) |
4.49 ↑
(3.61) |
7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 46.1% – 91.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): De Graafschap will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Jong Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, De Graafschap is a strong favorite.
- There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Eppink M.
(Foot Injury)
Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:21. (average 2.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong Utrecht?
De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against De Graafschap?
Jong Utrecht has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht were as follows:
08.12.2025
Jong Utrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:3
20.01.2025
Jong Utrecht
-
De Graafschap
1:1
23.08.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong Utrecht
2:2
03.05.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong Utrecht
2:2
24.11.2023
Jong Utrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:0
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
