Result
2:3
08/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 19
- Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (375/459) | 78% (286/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (375/459) | 78% (286/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (35/65) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (113/157) | 64% (45/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, El Kadiri I. ⚽, Boersma B. (A),
- 9', 0 - 2, Boersma B. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 2, van de Haar J. ⚽, Agougil O. (A),
- 39', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jonathans M. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
- 46', Besselink R. 🟨,
- 57', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 57', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
- 62', van de Haar J. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
- 67', Raterink O. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 67', El Kadiri I. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
- 73', El Arguioui R. ↓, Viereck N. ↑,
- 73', Mukeh J. ↓, den Boggende T. ↑,
- 79', den Boggende T. 🟨,
- 82', Iqbal Z. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, van der Heide A. ⚽,
- 85', van der Heide A. ↓, Kok T. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Kooy W. ⚽, Agougil O. (A),
Chances of winning
Jong Utrecht 27% | Draw 23.5% | De Graafschap 49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.46 ↑ (3.44) |
3.95 ↑ (3.75) |
1.89 ↑ (1.87) |
7.1% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - De Graafschap (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): De Graafschap will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 1.
- Jong Utrecht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- De Graafschap is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- De Graafschap might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1.2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against De Graafschap?
Jong Utrecht has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong Utrecht?
De Graafschap has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap were as follows:
20.01.2025
Jong Utrecht
-
De Graafschap
1:1
23.08.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong Utrecht
2:2
03.05.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong Utrecht
2:2
24.11.2023
Jong Utrecht
-
De Graafschap
2:0
30.01.2023
Jong Utrecht
-
De Graafschap
1:1
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 59:29 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 50 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 51:46 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Almere City | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 53:41 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Roda | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 43:37 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | De Graafschap | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:40 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Willem II | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 45:46 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Jong Utrecht | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 44:46 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Venlo | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 34:39 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 35:44 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40:44 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Maastricht | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 30:49 | -19 | 27 |
| 16 | Oss | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 26 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 43:51 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Helmond | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 26 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 20 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )