Result
1:1
06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (275/322) | 84% (329/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (275/322) | 84% (329/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (33/50) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (87/115) | 65% (57/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Edu 🟨,
- 26', Neris 🟨,
- 36', Perez C. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Edu ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fabricio ↓, Janderson ↑,
- 54', Hugo 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Togni G. ⚽,
- 63', Perez C. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
- 63', Hugo ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 63', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 63', Gustavo Silva ↓, Erick ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez F. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
- 71', Gonzalez L. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
- 71', Wellington Rato ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 86', Osorio A. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
40.7% | Draw
29.9% | Defensa y Justicia
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória Salvador's form might have worsened.Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensa y Justicia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vitória Salvador - Defensa y Justicia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.9) |
3.15 ↓
(3.4) |
3.24 ↓
(4.06) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Defensa y Justicia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 3 - 60%). Defensa y Justicia (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Defensa y Justicia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vitória might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vitória won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Defensa y Justicia?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Vitória Salvador?
Defensa y Justicia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
10.04.2025
Defensa y Justicia
-
Vitória Salvador
0:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
