Result
1:1
06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | DSports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Uruguay | DSports 1 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.87 | 1.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
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20 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
85% (275/322) | 84% (329/392) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.87 | 1.20 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.61 | 1.09 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 13 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 16 |
Passes |
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85% (275/322) | 84% (329/392) |
Long passes |
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66% (33/50) | 34% (17/50) |
Passes in final third |
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76% (87/115) | 65% (57/88) |
Crosses |
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32% (8/25) | 20% (3/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.76 | 0.54 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (9/14) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.09 | 2.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.09 | 1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Edu 🟨,
- 26', Neris 🟨,
- 36', Perez C. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Edu ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fabricio ↓, Janderson ↑,
- 54', Hugo 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Togni G. ⚽,
- 63', Perez C. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
- 63', Hugo ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 63', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 63', Gustavo Silva ↓, Erick ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez F. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
- 71', Gonzalez L. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
- 71', Wellington Rato ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 86', Osorio A. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador 40.7% | Draw 29.9% | Defensa y Justicia 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória Salvador's form might have worsened.Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensa y Justicia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vitória Salvador - Defensa y Justicia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.3 ↑ (1.9) |
3.15 ↓ (3.4) |
3.24 ↓ (4.06) |
6.1% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Defensa y Justicia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Defensa y Justicia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vitória might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vitória won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Defensa y Justicia?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Vitória Salvador?
Defensa y Justicia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
10.04.2025
Defensa y Justicia
-
Vitória Salvador
0:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal