Result
1:1
27/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Abaldo M. ⚽,
- 45+1', Barco A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sanseviero L. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 46', Barco A. ↓, Prieto K. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Femia E. ⚽,
- 64', Montoya W. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
- 64', Ginella F. ↓, Amaro M. ↑,
- 65', Abaldo M. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
- 65', Nunez S. ↓, Pintos I. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez F. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
- 70', Femia E. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
- 78', Pintos I. 🟨,
- 80', Fernandez S. ↓, Martinicorena F. ↑,
- 87', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 89', Soria A. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 90+2', Biscayzacu X. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Danubio
32.4% | Draw
29.9% | Defensor Sporting
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Danubio - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.6) |
3.06 ↓
(3.25) |
2.49 ↓
(2.6) |
7.9%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Danubio - Defensor Sporting?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Danubio won 1.
- Danubio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Defensor Sporting is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Danubio won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:19 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Danubio won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Defensor Sporting?
Danubio has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Danubio?
Defensor Sporting has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
05.10.2024
Danubio
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
30.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
1:0
13.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
1:0
07.12.2023
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
0:2
14.07.2023
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
2:1
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 3 | Boston River | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventud | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Nacional | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Miramar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Danubio | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Progreso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
| 16 | River Plate | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:8 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
