Defensor Sporting vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
12
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Sanseviero L. ,
  • 18', de los Santos L. 🟨,
  • 30', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 30', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 30', Pais N. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Agazzi L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Romero S. , Amaro J. ,
  • 61', Fernandez S. , Femia E. ,
  • 69', Nunez S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 69', Sosa L. , Rabino R. ,
  • 71', Navarro L. , Machado A. ,
  • 71', De los Santos G. , Sena N. ,
  • 71', Alvarez J. , Abreu D. ,
  • 76', Rabino R. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Pacifico P. ,
  • 82', Gonzalez M. , Brandao ,
  • 90+2', Amaro M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
40.1%
Draw
30.8%
Danubio
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 28.4% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 27.9% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Defensor Sporting - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.17)
    2.98
    (3.29)
    3.28
    (3.29)
    6.6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Danubio?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Danubio (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Danubio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Defensor Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Defensor Sporting could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Danubio were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Danubio - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    05.10.2024 Danubio - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    30.03.2024 Defensor Sporting - Danubio 1:0
    13.03.2024 Defensor Sporting - Danubio 1:0
    07.12.2023 Defensor Sporting - Danubio 0:2
    Latest results of Danubio
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    31.08.2025 Danubio - Miramar Misiones 2:3
    24.08.2025 Progreso - Danubio 1:0
    18.08.2025 Cerro Largo - Danubio 1:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Esp33006:159
    2Nacional32104:227
    3Defensor Sp32104:227
    4Maldonado32017:436
    5Penarol32016:426
    6Danubio32013:4-16
    7Racing Montevideo31117:524
    8Montevideo City31117:524
    9Albion31114:224
    10Liverpool M31114:404
    11Wanderers31113:6-34
    12Cerro Largo31022:3-13
    13Juventud30122:4-21
    14Boston River30121:4-31
    15CA Cerro30121:5-41
    16Progreso30030:6-60

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