Result
1:1
27/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Disney+ |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
Uruguay | VTV+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Total shots |
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7 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 8 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Abaldo M. ⚽,
- 45+1', Barco A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sanseviero L. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 46', Barco A. ↓, Prieto K. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Femia E. ⚽,
- 64', Montoya W. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
- 64', Ginella F. ↓, Amaro M. ↑,
- 65', Abaldo M. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
- 65', Nunez S. ↓, Pintos I. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez F. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
- 70', Femia E. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
- 78', Pintos I. 🟨,
- 80', Fernandez S. ↓, Martinicorena F. ↑,
- 87', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 89', Soria A. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 90+2', Biscayzacu X. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Danubio 32.4% | Draw 29.9% | Defensor Sporting 37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Danubio - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.86 ↑ (2.6) |
3.06 ↓ (3.25) |
2.49 ↓ (2.6) |
7.9% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Danubio - Defensor Sporting?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Danubio won 1.
- Danubio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Defensor Sporting is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Danubio won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:19 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Danubio won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Defensor Sporting?
Danubio has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Danubio?
Defensor Sporting has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
05.10.2024
Danubio
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
30.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
1:0
13.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
1:0
07.12.2023
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
0:2
14.07.2023
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
2:1
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Draw
Torneo Intermedio - Play OffsFinal