Defensor Sporting vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Defensor Sporting - Danubio
Result
2:1
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
12
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Sanseviero L. ,
  • 18', de los Santos L. 🟨,
  • 30', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 30', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 30', Pais N. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Agazzi L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Romero S. , Amaro J. ,
  • 61', Fernandez S. , Femia E. ,
  • 69', Nunez S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 69', Sosa L. , Rabino R. ,
  • 71', Navarro L. , Machado A. ,
  • 71', De los Santos G. , Sena N. ,
  • 71', Alvarez J. , Abreu D. ,
  • 76', Rabino R. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Pacifico P. ,
  • 82', Gonzalez M. , Brandao ,
  • 90+2', Amaro M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
40.1%
Draw
30.8%
Danubio
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 28.4% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 27.9% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Defensor Sporting - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.17)
    2.98
    (3.29)
    3.28
    (3.29)
    6.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Defensor Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Defensor Sporting could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Danubio were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Danubio - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    05.10.2024 Danubio - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    30.03.2024 Defensor Sporting - Danubio 1:0
    13.03.2024 Defensor Sporting - Danubio 1:0
    07.12.2023 Defensor Sporting - Danubio 0:2
    Latest results of Danubio
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    31.08.2025 Danubio - Miramar Misiones 2:3
    24.08.2025 Progreso - Danubio 1:0
    18.08.2025 Cerro Largo - Danubio 1:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol861116:61019
    2Boston River853017:41318
    3Montevideo City852116:9717
    4Nacional861119:81116
    5Cerro Largo85128:4416
    6Defensor Sp85036:8-215
    7CA Cerro94148:10-213
    8Liverpool M833210:9112
    9Danubio831412:9310
    10Miramar831413:11210
    11Progreso831410:11-110
    12Racing Montevideo83147:15-810
    13Juventud83055:8-39
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate80262:13-112
    16Plaza Colonia80175:19-141

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