Result
0:0
26/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Juan Jorge 🟨,
- 37', Amaro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Torterolo A. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 52', Juan Jorge ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 56', Azambuja N. 🟨,
- 61', Wunsch N. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
- 61', Machado A. ↓, Bruschi S. ↑,
- 73', Ferreira M. ↓, Costantino I. ↑,
- 81', Cabrera E. ↓, Balatti F. ↑,
- 81', Peralta M. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
- 82', Agazzi L. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 89', Frugone A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rodriguez S. ↓, Figueroa E. ↑,
- 90+3', Bruschi S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Danubio
37% | Draw
30.6% | Defensor Sporting
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Danubio - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(2.57) |
3.03 ↓
(3.04) |
2.87 ↑
(2.79) |
7.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Danubio - Defensor Sporting?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Danubio (5.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Danubio (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 0.
- Danubio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Defensor Sporting's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Defensor Sporting?
Danubio has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Danubio?
Defensor Sporting has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
19.09.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
2:1
27.03.2025
Danubio
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
05.10.2024
Danubio
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
30.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
1:0
13.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Danubio
1:0
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
