Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
99
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Amaro M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Amaro M. , de los Santos L. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Machado A. ,
  • 60', Navarro L. , Abreu D. ,
  • 60', Alvarez J. , Wunsch N. ,
  • 60', Cerro F. , Queiroz N. ,
  • 60', Gabriel G. , Teuten A. ,
  • 61', Martinez M. , Parzajuk K. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Lima P. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Agazzi L. ,
  • 76', Machado A. , Sena N. ,
  • 77', Veglio B. , Martin B. ,
  • 85', Zazpe L. , Suarez P. ,
  • 88', Rivero R. 🟨,
  • 89', Pacifico P. , Saravia M. ,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
48.6%
Draw
28.7%
Montevideo Wanderers
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 30.2% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 29.2% 28.3%

Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.93
(2.28)
3.22
(3.05)
4.1
(3.15)
7.3%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Defensor Sporting: 61.5%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensor Sporting will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 0.
    • Defensor Sporting is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wanderers is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Defensor Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
    17.06.2025 Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting 0:0
    07.04.2025 Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting 0:0
    04.11.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    07.07.2024 Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers 1:1
    28.04.2024 Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers 2:2
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Liverpool M.Penarol1 : 2
    2ByeNacional

    Final
    1PenarolNacional2 : 2