Result
2:1
06/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Amaro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Amaro M. ↓, de los Santos L. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Machado A. ⚽,
- 60', Navarro L. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 60', Alvarez J. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
- 60', Cerro F. ↓, Queiroz N. ↑,
- 60', Gabriel G. ↓, Teuten A. ↑,
- 61', Martinez M. ↓, Parzajuk K. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Lima P. ⚽,
- 67', 2 - 1, Agazzi L. ⚽,
- 76', Machado A. ↓, Sena N. ↑,
- 77', Veglio B. ↓, Martin B. ↑,
- 85', Zazpe L. ↓, Suarez P. ↑,
- 88', Rivero R. 🟨,
- 89', Pacifico P. ↓, Saravia M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting
48.6% | Draw
28.7% | Montevideo Wanderers
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensor Sporting's performance.Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensor Sporting that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.28) |
3.22 ↑
(3.05) |
4.1 ↑
(3.15) |
7.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensor Sporting: 61.5% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensor Sporting will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 0.
- Defensor Sporting is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Wanderers is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Defensor Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Defensor Sporting has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Defensor Sporting?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
17.06.2025
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Defensor Sporting
0:0
07.04.2025
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Defensor Sporting
0:0
04.11.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
07.07.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Montevideo Wanderers
1:1
28.04.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Montevideo Wanderers
2:2
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | River Plate | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
