Result
0:2
15/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Uruguay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', 🟨,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 1, Arezo M. ⚽,
- 55', Abreu D. 🟨,
- 56', 🟨,
- 61', 🟨,
- 62', 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 2, Silvera M. ⚽,
- 73', 🟨,
- 79', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting
19.5% | Draw
30.5% | Peñarol de Montevideo
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.8 ↑
(3.99) |
3.07 ↓
(3.4) |
1.87 ↓
(1.92) |
7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 0.
- Defensor Sporting is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Defensor Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Defensor Sporting?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
07.06.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
3:0
02.05.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
17.11.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:0
27.07.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:0
18.05.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:2
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Atletico Arsenal | Oriental | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Libertad San Carlos | Defensor Sp. | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Bella Vista | Juventud | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Nacional NH | Central Esp. | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Rincon | Cerro Largo | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | San Carlos | Tacuarembo | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Rio Negro SJ | Penarol | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Durazno | Liverpool M. | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Paso de la Arena | Boston River | 0 : 3 |
| 10 | Atenas Tala | Racing Montevideo | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | CA Florida | Atenas | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Universitario Salto | Wanderers | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Wanderers Durazno | Plaza Colonia | 2 : 3 |
| 14 | Huracan FC | Nacional | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Porongos | Maldonado | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Paysandu FC | Albion | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Oriental | Defensor Sp. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Bella Vista | Central Esp. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | Tacuarembo | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | Liverpool M. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | CA Florida | Universitario Salto | 0 : 7 |
| 7 | Plaza Colonia | Nacional | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Porongos | Albion | 0 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Defensor Sp. | Central Esp. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tacuarembo | Penarol | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | Universitario Salto | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | Albion | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Defensor Sp. | Penarol | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | Plaza Colonia | 1 : 2 |
Final
