Result
2:2
21/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 17
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (371/458) | 66% (128/195) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (371/458) | 66% (128/195) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (16/41) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (64/109) | 44% (24/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', Gallardo N. 🟨,
- 34', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Mendoza E. (Pen),
- 45+6', Burdisso M. 🟨,
- 45+10', 1 - 1, Ayovi J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Ruiz J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 61', Levato M. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 65', Vega E. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Caicedo R. ⚽,
- 69', Fernandez O. 🟨,
- 75', Gallardo N. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 75', Castro L. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,
- 76', Cueva C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 88', Cuero Q. C. A. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Burdisso M. ⚽, Cuello B. (A),
- 90+7', Cardenas Salazar O. B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec
42% | Draw
31.4% | Delfín
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emelec's form might have worsened.Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emelec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Emelec - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.89) |
2.94 ↓
(3.29) |
3.46 ↓
(4.21) |
8%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Emelec - Delfín?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Emelec will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 2.
- Emelec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Delfín is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Delfín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Emelec will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Delfín?
Emelec has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Emelec?
Delfín has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Delfín were as follows:
22.02.2025
Delfín
-
Emelec
2:0
24.08.2024
Delfín
-
Emelec
0:1
21.03.2024
Emelec
-
Delfín
2:0
27.08.2023
Emelec
-
Delfín
0:1
01.04.2023
Delfín
-
Emelec
3:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
