Result
2:1
26/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 22
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/346) | 85% (405/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/346) | 85% (405/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (68/91) | 58% (59/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Cano L. ⚽, Jaramilo R. (A),
- 33', Segura E. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Cano L. ⚽, Carcelen Carabali M. A. (A),
- 45+3', Gallardo N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Fernandez O. ⚽,
- 55', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 64', Cuello B. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
- 69', Parrales J. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 69', Zambrano C. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 70', Cano L. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 81', Miranda B. ↓, Montenegro B. ↑,
- 81', Jaramilo R. ↓, Ontaneda J. ↑,
- 81', Perez Tica J. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
- 81', Vega E. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
- 85', Burdisso M. 🟨,
- 85', Gruezo E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
59% | Draw
24.1% | Delfín
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
SD Aucas - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.55) |
3.85 ↑
(3.84) |
5.6 ↑
(5.53) |
7.9%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Delfín?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1.
- Aucas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Delfín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aucas is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Delfín?
SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against SD Aucas?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Delfín were as follows:
05.04.2025
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
1:1
24.11.2024
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
2:0
25.05.2024
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
2:0
25.11.2023
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
0:0
11.06.2023
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
2:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Macara | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
