Result
2:1
26/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 22
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.17 | 0.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (281/346) | 85% (405/475) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.17 | 0.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.51 | 0.80 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
81% (281/346) | 85% (405/475) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (34/62) | 48% (27/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (68/91) | 58% (59/101) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (6/15) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.09 | 0.62 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 4 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (5/10) | 71% (5/7) |
Duels won |
---|
27 | 31 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 11 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.80 | 1.51 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.20 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Cano L. ⚽, Jaramilo R. (A),
- 33', Segura E. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Cano L. ⚽, Carcelen Carabali M. A. (A),
- 45+3', Gallardo N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Fernandez O. ⚽,
- 55', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 64', Cuello B. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
- 69', Parrales J. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 69', Zambrano C. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 70', Cano L. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 81', Miranda B. ↓, Montenegro B. ↑,
- 81', Jaramilo R. ↓, Ontaneda J. ↑,
- 81', Perez Tica J. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
- 81', Vega E. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
- 85', Burdisso M. 🟨,
- 85', Gruezo E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas 59% | Draw 24.1% | Delfín 16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
SD Aucas - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↑ (1.55) |
3.85 ↑ (3.84) |
5.6 ↑ (5.53) |
7.9% (8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Delfín?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1.
- Aucas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Delfín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aucas is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Delfín?
SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against SD Aucas?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Delfín were as follows:
05.04.2025
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
1:1
24.11.2024
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
2:0
25.05.2024
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
2:0
25.11.2023
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
0:0
11.06.2023
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
2:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )