Result
0:1
13/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 9
- Referee: Torres Cajax A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (227/333) | 70% (293/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (227/333) | 70% (293/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/75) | 34% (27/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (43/84) | 56% (67/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Quinonez R. 🟨,
- 26', Burdisso M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Estacio J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Quinonez R. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 58', Patino D. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
- 63', Mina J. 🟨,
- 66', Vega E. ↓, Gallardo N. ↑,
- 72', Cano L. 🟨,
- 76', Leon J. ↓, Briceno J. ↑,
- 76', Cuello B. ↓, Perez Tica J. ↑,
- 80', Castro L. 🟨,
- 81', Miranda B. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
- 81', Jaramilo R. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 85', Mendoza E. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 85', Cano L. ↓, Uchuari J. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽, Spina A. L. (A),
- 90+5', Fernandez O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Delfín
22.8% | Draw
25.2% | SD Aucas
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Aucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Delfín - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↓
(4.5) |
3.7 ↓
(3.75) |
1.78 ↑
(1.62) |
7.8%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Delfín - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): SD Aucas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 1.
- Delfín has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Aucas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aucas is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against SD Aucas?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Delfín?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - SD Aucas were as follows:
10.11.2025
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
8:0
26.07.2025
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
2:1
05.04.2025
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
1:1
24.11.2024
SD Aucas
-
Delfín
2:0
25.05.2024
Delfín
-
SD Aucas
2:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Delfin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Libertad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | LDU Quito | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Aucas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Orense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Guayaquil City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Manta | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Emelec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
