Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 28
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (592/680) | 73% (184/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (592/680) | 73% (184/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (98/142) | 41% (28/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 0% (0/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Alonso M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Perez Tica J. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 68', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 68', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Estacio J. ⚽,
- 77', Moreno L. ↓, Cacciabue J. ↑,
- 79', Cardenas J. 🟨,
- 82', Vega E. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 82', Cuello B. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
- 86', Anangono G. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
- 86', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 90', Mendoza E. ↓, Tenorio L. ↑,
- 90+6', Gallardo N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
67.6% | Draw
20.6% | Delfín
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.35) |
4.53 ↓
(5.08) |
7.94 ↑
(6.5) |
7.4%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
- Uni Católica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Delfín's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Uni Católica is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Delfín?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Delfín were as follows:
18.05.2025
Delfín
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:0
23.09.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Delfín
2:1
07.04.2024
Delfín
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:2
23.10.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Delfín
2:2
14.05.2023
Delfín
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 63 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 56:38 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 34:27 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Orense | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 46 |
| 7 | Libertad | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Emelec ✔ | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 30 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 25:43 | -18 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 34:42 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
