Excelsior vs Den Bosch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 31
  • Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.69
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
177
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
30
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
62
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
915
Offsides
00
Fouls
159
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
1827
Touches in the Opposition Box
2816
Passes
80% (332/414)75% (284/380)
Passes in the final third
71% (95/133)48% (37/77)
Crosses
42% (10/24)18% (2/11)
Tackles
79% (15/19)67% (14/21)
Clearances Total
2023
Interceptions
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Fini S. , Eijgenraam J. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Gravenberch D. , Burgering B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
  • 60', Fini S. , Sanches Fernandes D. ,
  • 60', Omorowa R. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 66', Monzialo K. 🟨,
  • 73', Warmerdam D. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 73', Tielemans M. , Hatenboer C. ,
  • 74', Gravenberch D. , Kuijpers D. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, van Duinen M. ,
  • 80', van Duinen M. 🟨,
  • 83', Soomets M. , van Hedel R. ,
  • 88', Donkor J. , Booth Z. ,
  • 88', van Leeuwen T. , Acheffay H. ,
  • 88', Maas S. , Boumassaoudi I. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Sanches Fernandes D. , Duijvestijn L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
63.1%
Draw
21.4%
Den Bosch
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.4% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 16.7% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Den Bosch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Excelsior - Den Bosch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.51)
    4.37
    (4.35)
    6.06
    (5.62)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - Den Bosch?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 67.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4.
    • Recent matches Excelsior is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Den Bosch has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury) Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 41:27 (average 2.6:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:11 (average 3.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Den Bosch were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Den Bosch - Excelsior 0:3
    01.11.2023 Den Bosch - Excelsior 1:2
    Latest results of Excelsior
    07.03.2025 De Graafschap - Excelsior 2:1
    02.03.2025 Excelsior - Roda 1:1
    21.02.2025 Telstar - Excelsior 1:3
    16.02.2025 Excelsior - Helmond Sport 1:1
    10.02.2025 Jong Ajax - Excelsior 3:2
    Latest results of Den Bosch
    07.03.2025 Den Bosch - Cambuur 0:2
    02.03.2025 ADO Den Haag - Den Bosch 2:1
    21.02.2025 Roda - Den Bosch 0:0
    14.02.2025 Den Bosch - Telstar 0:1
    07.02.2025 De Graafschap - Den Bosch 1:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 32242672:314174
    2Cambuur31217363:333070
    3De Graafschap31157958:49952
    4Willem II31148945:38750
    5Jong PSV321551262:56650
    6Almere City321541366:531349
    7Waalwijk321391054:47748
    8Roda321211950:47347
    9Dordrecht3211101143:43043
    10Den Bosch321271355:57-243
    11Eindhoven FC311241545:55-1040
    12Venlo321141739:49-1037
    13FC Emmen301061446:54-836
    14Jong Utrecht32991448:54-636
    15Maastricht32991439:61-2236
    16Vitesse321291149:49033
    17Helmond32961737:56-1933
    18Jong Ajax32881645:57-1232
    19Jong AZ32941953:63-1031
    20Oss326111539:56-1729

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie