Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 9
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (284/381) | 73% (278/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (284/381) | 73% (278/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (16/44) | 37% (22/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (64/113) | 50% (53/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Blancquart G. 🟨,
- 33', Ait Mouhou N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', van Zijl B. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
- 46', Triep J. ↓, Zandbergen D. ↑,
- 60', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
- 62', El Allachi C. ↓, Sille G. ↑,
- 63', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
- 66', Joosten T. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
- 67', Odriss M. ↓, Heise P. ↑,
- 72', de Blok L. ↓, Verheij L. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 1, Monzialo K. ⚽, Verbeek D. (A),
- 82', Monzialo K. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 83', Verbeek D. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
- 87', Wang B. 🟨,
- 88', Felida K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rossen I. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kuijpers D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
VVV-Venlo
43.2% | Draw
24.4% | Den Bosch
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.12) |
3.81 ↓
(3.92) |
2.92 ↓
(3) |
6.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
VVV-Venlo will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): VVV-Venlo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
- Venlo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Den Bosch's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Venlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Venlo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Venlo: Timber D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 2.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Den Bosch?
VVV-Venlo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against VVV-Venlo?
Den Bosch has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch were as follows:
18.04.2025
Den Bosch
-
VVV-Venlo
0:0
25.10.2024
VVV-Venlo
-
Den Bosch
1:2
26.04.2024
VVV-Venlo
-
Den Bosch
2:3
20.10.2023
Den Bosch
-
VVV-Venlo
1:2
10.03.2023
VVV-Venlo
-
Den Bosch
4:0
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Latest results of Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30:7 | 23 | 28 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roda | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Willem II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Helmond | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Venlo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Emmen | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Oss | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Almere City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Eindhoven FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
