Result
0:1
23/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (367/467) | 62% (145/235) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (367/467) | 62% (145/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (52/80) | 31% (25/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (99/161) | 45% (34/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Larrivey J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', Cavalleri M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Araya M. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
- 48', Gallegos S. 🟨,
- 54', Salgado D. 🟨,
- 59', Larrivey J. 🟨,
- 60', Munder C. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
- 61', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
- 61', Gallegos S. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 61', Cavalleri M. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 66', Henriquez J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 66', Rodriguez N. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 78', Jara A. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
- 78', Larrivey J. ↓, Valencia Rossel L. ↑,
- 79', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
- 90+3', Perez Kirby S. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palestino
54.8% | Draw
25.9% | Deportes Concepción
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Palestino - Deportes Concepción Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.77) |
3.63 ↓
(3.65) |
4.86 ↑
(4.46) |
6.6%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palestino - Deportes Concepción?
Users Predictions:
Palestino will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palestino will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- Palestino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes Concepción is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Palestino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palestino is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 3.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Deportes Concepción?
Palestino has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Concepción won against Palestino?
Deportes Concepción has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Deportes Concepción were as follows:
30.04.2025
Palestino
-
Deportes Concepción
4:4
23.03.2025
Deportes Concepción
-
Palestino
3:2
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Limache | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Huachipato | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Nublense | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | La Serena | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Palestino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | U. De Concepcion | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Union La Calera | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
