Result
2:1
29/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (372/438) | 79% (316/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (372/438) | 79% (316/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (68/86) | 68% (90/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -1.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Covea M. ⚽, Echenique E. (A),
- 28', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Tegues D. ⚽, Echenique E. (A),
- 35', Tegues D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Marcotti L. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 46', Jorquera M. ↓, Barrera B. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
- 60', Tegues D. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
- 65', Gomez J. ↓, Valenzuela R. ↑,
- 70', Heraldez L. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
- 70', Vegas M. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 73', Rito E. 🟥,
- 76', Rodriguez B. ↓, Edet B. ↑,
- 77', Hernandez J. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
- 82', Fuentes C. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
- 87', Orellana D. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
- 90+7', Gonzalez C. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Caracas
55.7% | Draw
24.8% | Deportes Iquique
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Iquique might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caracas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Iquique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caracas - Deportes Iquique Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(2.06) |
3.82 ↑
(3.47) |
4.79 ↑
(3.43) |
5.8%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caracas - Deportes Iquique?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caracas: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Iquique (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Caracas (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Deportes Iquique may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caracas is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caracas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Deportes Iquique?
Caracas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Caracas?
Deportes Iquique has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Deportes Iquique were as follows:
01.04.2025
Deportes Iquique
-
Caracas
1:2
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
