Result
3:1
08/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (383/438) | 73% (170/233) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (383/438) | 73% (170/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (28/42) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (142/179) | 56% (27/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | 1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', De Santis J. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Gentile G. ⚽,
- 21', Mago L. ↓, Edet B. ↑,
- 22', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
- 30', Garces C. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 34', 1 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽,
- 45', Estrada J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 67', 2 - 1, Valoyes J. ⚽, Arias Fierro S. D. (A),
- 73', Hernandez J. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
- 74', Heraldez L. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
- 74', Cueva C. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 75', Romagnoli J. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
- 75', Gentile G. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
- 81', Ortiz J. ↓, Cavero S. ↑,
- 81', Jimenez N. 🟨,
- 83', 3 - 1, Noronha O. ⚽, Amondarain M. (A),
- 85', Rodriguez V. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
- 85', Vegas M. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cienciano
67.9% | Draw
20.5% | Caracas
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caracas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Cienciano - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.63) |
4.57 ↑
(3.81) |
8.11 ↑
(5.49) |
6.5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Caracas?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cienciano will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cienciano will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cienciano is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cienciano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Caracas?
Cienciano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Cienciano?
Caracas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Caracas were as follows:
08.04.2025
Caracas
-
Cienciano
2:2
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Caracas
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Tigre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Vasco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
