Result
1:1
15/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 20
- Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (242/311) | 77% (275/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (242/311) | 77% (275/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 46% (33/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (76/118) | 59% (43/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 50% (7/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Saldias J. ⚽, Saez S. (A),
- 45+1', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 🟨,
- 45+3', Diaz S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Herrera E. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
- 49', Ferreyra N. 🟨,
- 51', Diaz C. 🟨,
- 60', Moya C. 🟨,
- 65', Mendoza B. 🟨,
- 66', Soto J. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
- 72', Pinto M. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
- 73', Fuentes J. 🟥,
- 75', Saez S. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
- 82', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
- 82', Benegas L. ↓, Hiriart M. ↑,
- 82', Moreira E. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Mendoza B. ⚽, Alarcon L. (A),
- 88', Saldias J. 🟨,
- 90', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Unión La Calera
42.5% | Draw
29.1% | Deportes La Serena
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.28) |
3.22 ↓
(3.45) |
3.32 ↑
(2.98) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.
- Unión La Calera has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Unión La Calera could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Deportes La Serena?
Unión La Calera has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Unión La Calera?
Deportes La Serena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
30.10.2022
Deportes La Serena
-
Unión La Calera
2:1
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 44:22 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
