Result
3:0
06/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 6
- Referee: Assadi Quintana M. H. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (268/349) | 81% (381/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (268/349) | 81% (381/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (16/50) | 56% (31/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (39/69) | 62% (84/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', Leiva Y. 🟨,
- 12', Chamorro F. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Escalante G. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
- 41', 2 - 0, Rubio D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
- 58', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
- 58', Lanzillotta F. 🟨,
- 59', Villanueva C. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
- 60', Encinas A. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
- 60', Moya C. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
- 64', Gutierrez J. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
- 67', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
- 68', Gutierrez C. ↓, Saldias J. ↑,
- 72', Caseres R. 🟨,
- 72', Chamorro F. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
- 85', Diaz C. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 90+1', Rubio D. ↓, Sepulveda C. ↑,
- 90+1', Mac Allister F. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
- 90+2', Cruz J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Marin M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena
47.6% | Draw
28.5% | Unión La Calera
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión La Calera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes La Serena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión La Calera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.26) |
3.27 ↑
(3.23) |
3.88 ↑
(3.14) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportes La Serena might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Unión La Calera?
Deportes La Serena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Deportes La Serena?
Unión La Calera has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera were as follows:
15.08.2025
Unión La Calera
-
Deportes La Serena
1:1
30.10.2022
Deportes La Serena
-
Unión La Calera
2:1
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Limache | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Nublense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | U. De Concepcion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Union La Calera | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | U. De Chile | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | O'Higgins | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | La Serena | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Palestino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
