Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 23
- Referee: Riquelme M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (136/220) | 80% (388/482) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (136/220) | 80% (388/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (38/79) | 71% (104/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Diaz S. 🟨,
- 38', Diaz S. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
- 45', Zanini A. 🟨,
- 45+10', Retamal D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diaz A. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
- 46', Retamal D. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
- 55', Contreras R. ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 63', Fernandez N. ↓, Hormazabal F. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Vargas J. ⚽, Moreira E. (A),
- 71', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
- 71', Tapia I. ↓, Zaldivia M. ↑,
- 72', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
- 74', Rodriguez S. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
- 79', Gallegos S. 🟨,
- 85', Moreira E. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
- 85', Gallegos S. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 85', Fuentes J. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Assadi L. (A),
- 90+1', Henriquez A. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena 31.8% | Draw 27.2% | Universidad de Chile 41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.99 ↓ (4.61) |
3.44 ↓ (4.01) |
2.32 ↑ (1.64) |
5.5% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Deportes La Serena (1.78) (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0.
- Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Universidad de Chile has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Universidad de Chile is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Universidad de Chile?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Deportes La Serena?
Universidad de Chile has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
17.04.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Deportes La Serena
3:1
09.10.2022
Deportes La Serena
-
Universidad de Chile
1:2
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo ✔ | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 42:13 | 29 | 68 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 38:31 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | U. De Chile | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 53:29 | 24 | 48 |
| 5 | Palestino | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Cobresal | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | A. Italiano | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 46:42 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Nublense | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26:32 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | La Serena | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31:46 | -15 | 27 |
| 13 | Everton | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:40 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Limache | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 33:43 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 29:49 | -20 | 21 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 29:56 | -27 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coquimbo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )