Universidad de Chile vs Deportes La Serena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena
Result
3:1
17/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 8
  • Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.32
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
85% (363/426)80% (247/310)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.91
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2111
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
85% (363/426)80% (247/310)
Long passes
72% (48/67)57% (32/56)
Passes in final third
71% (82/116)68% (52/77)
Crosses
33% (5/15)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.42
Fouls
1114
Tackles
86% (18/21)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4944
Clearances Total
1530
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.912.58
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', Chamorro F. 🟨,
  • 10', 1 - 0, Poblete Zuniga I. E. , Di Yorio L. (A),
  • 12', Zanini A. , Ferreyra N. ,
  • 29', Di Yorio L. , Contreras R. ,
  • 40', Ferreyra N. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ramirez N. , Guerrero Pena M. G. ,
  • 46', Chamorro F. , Rivera M. ,
  • 58', Diaz M. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 58', Guerra N. , Altamirano J. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Henriquez A. , Alarcon L. (A),
  • 74', Poblete Zuniga I. E. 🟨,
  • 75', Diaz S. , Ovando L. ,
  • 77', Poblete Zuniga I. E. , Montes G. ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Contreras R. (Pen),
  • 82', Jhonatan Kauan , Jara Gonzalez G. A. ,
  • 85', Henriquez A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Universidad de Chile
69.7%
Draw
19.9%
Deportes La Serena
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 18.5% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 17.9% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.34)
    4.8
    (5.07)
    9
    (7.87)
    6.1%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad de Chile won 2.
    • Universidad de Chile is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Deportes La Serena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Universidad de Chile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Universidad de Chile is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Universidad de Chile to win the game is with odds 1.32.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Universidad de Chile won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:5 (average 1.8:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Universidad de Chile won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    09.10.2022 Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile 1:2
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo1595119:71232
    2A. Italiano15102328:181032
    3Palestino1584322:14828
    4O'Higgins1575315:15026
    5U. De Chile1381429:131625
    6Cobresal1565419:18123
    7U. Catolica1464420:14622
    8Union La Calera1564515:11422
    9Colo Colo1363423:131021
    10Huachipato1553720:23-318
    11La Serena1552819:27-817
    12Nublense1537514:22-816
    13Everton1535715:25-1014
    14Limache1534817:23-613
    15U. Espanola14211112:27-157
    16Deportes Iquique15131115:32-176

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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