Deportes La Serena vs Universidad de Chile – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera Division Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 23
  • Referee: Riquelme M. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.74
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
62% (136/220)80% (388/482)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.85
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
1328
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
98
Passes
62% (136/220)80% (388/482)
Long passes
39% (22/57)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
48% (38/79)71% (104/147)
Crosses
18% (4/22)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.80
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
89
Tackles
79% (11/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
3426
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.850.62
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Diaz S. 🟨,
  • 38', Diaz S. , Jara Gonzalez G. A. ,
  • 45', Zanini A. 🟨,
  • 45+10', Retamal D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Diaz A. , Altamirano J. ,
  • 46', Retamal D. , Assadi L. ,
  • 55', Contreras R. , Di Yorio L. ,
  • 63', Fernandez N. , Hormazabal F. ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Vargas J. , Moreira E. (A),
  • 71', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
  • 71', Tapia I. , Zaldivia M. ,
  • 72', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
  • 74', Rodriguez S. , Poblete Zuniga I. E. ,
  • 79', Gallegos S. 🟨,
  • 85', Moreira E. , Henriquez A. ,
  • 85', Gallegos S. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 85', Fuentes J. , Rivera M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Di Yorio L. , Assadi L. (A),
  • 90+1', Henriquez A. , Herrera E. ,

Chances of winning


Deportes La Serena
31.8%
Draw
27.2%
Universidad de Chile
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.2% 23.2% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4% 23% 56%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.
  • Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Chile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes La Serena that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Chile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (4.61)
    3.44
    (4.01)
    2.32
    (1.64)
    5.5%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Deportes La Serena (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0.
    • Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Universidad de Chile has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Universidad de Chile is the team to beat.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.5:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
    17.04.2025 Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena 3:1
    09.10.2022 Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile 1:2
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Latest results of Universidad de Chile
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo24185137:122559
    2U. Catolica25146539:221748
    3O'Higgins24128432:28444
    4A. Italiano25134844:38643
    5U. De Chile24133847:252242
    6Palestino25126733:24942
    7Cobresal25125831:28341
    8Colo Colo2497836:27934
    9Huachipato25951137:39-232
    10Nublense2479824:30-630
    11Union La Calera24751222:28-626
    12La Serena25661329:44-1524
    13Everton24571225:37-1222
    14Limache24561327:35-821
    15U. Espanola25621728:47-1920
    16Deportes Iquique25361626:53-2715

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