FBC Melgar vs Deportes Tolima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores
Soccer Copa Libertadores FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima
Result
1:0
27/02/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.84
Ball Possession
36%64%
Goal Attempts
913
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
37
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
10
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
55
Throw-ins
1924
Touches in the Opposition Box
1618
Passes
68% (158/234)83% (363/435)
Passes in the final third
59% (49/83)63% (72/115)
Crosses
24% (5/21)39% (7/18)
Tackles
67% (14/21)70% (14/20)
Clearances Total
2331
Interceptions
1313

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Barrios P. 🟨,
  • 35', Perez K. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
  • 45', Castro F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Nieto J. 🟨,
  • 59', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 60', Torres M. 🟨,
  • 62', Hernandez J. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
  • 64', Martinez T. 🟨,
  • 67', Castro F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
  • 78', Martinez T. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
  • 78', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
  • 79', Valencia E. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
  • 79', Nieto J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
  • 80', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
  • 82', Bordacahar C. 🟨,
  • 82', Rovira B. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Bordacahar C. (Pen),
  • 88', Bordacahar C. ↓, Deneumostier A. ↑,
  • 89', Castro A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ramirez G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
42.8%		Draw
30.7%		Deportes Tolima
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 27.8% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.9% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
    •

    FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.2 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.06 ↓
    (3.31)    		 3.59 ↓
    (3.6)    		 6%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 4
    •
    What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 42.8% – 90.6%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Melgar in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Deportes Tolima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Melgar will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Melgar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
    20.02.2025 Deportes Tolima - FBC Melgar 0:1
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    23.02.2025 FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético 2:1 ✺
    20.02.2025 Deportes Tolima - FBC Melgar 0:1 ✺
    14.02.2025 Cusco - FBC Melgar 0:1
    08.02.2025 FBC Melgar - Cajamarca 3:0
    25.01.2025 FBC Melgar - Deportivo Cuenca 0:0
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    23.02.2025 Deportes Tolima - América de Cali 0:0 ✺
    20.02.2025 Deportes Tolima - FBC Melgar 0:1 ✺
    14.02.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Deportes Tolima 0:0 ✺
    07.02.2025 Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar 3:1 ✺
    31.01.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima 0:0 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    worldWorldDisney+
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