Result
2:2
04/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (408/482) | 74% (201/272) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (408/482) | 74% (201/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/107) | 64% (59/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
- 13', Puerta M. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 19', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
- 40', 1 - 2, Fernandez O. ⚽,
- 44', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Pedrozo D. 🟨,
- 57', Arrieta C. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 59', Sandoval L. 🟨,
- 65', Palacios L. 🟨,
- 73', Gonzalez J. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
- 73', Fernandez O. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 73', Rodallega H. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Torres Patino J. P. ⚽, Mosquera J. (A),
- 80', Sandoval L. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 81', Mera J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 82', Palacios L. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 83', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 87', Pedrozo D. 🟥,
- 90+1', Rovira B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/zdy9sput
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
54.4% | Draw
26.2% | Independiente Santa Fe
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Tolima's performance.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Tolima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.98) |
3.57 ↑
(3.28) |
4.81 ↑
(3.85) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Deportes Tolima (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 2.
- Deportes Tolima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Fe is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Deportes Tolima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportes Tolima has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
29.11.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
25.11.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportes Tolima
1:2
18.07.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
31.01.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
29.09.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:0
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
