Result
27/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Rivera H. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
45.5% | Draw
28.8% | Independiente Medellín
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Tolima's performance.Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Medellín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Tolima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Medellín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.44) |
3.26 ↓
(3.28) |
3.72 ↑
(2.83) |
5.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportes Tolima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of home games.
- Deportes Tolima could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Independiente Medellín?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
15.06.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportes Tolima
2:1
04.06.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Medellín
1:3
15.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
22.09.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
09.03.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
