Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Rivera H. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (331/408) | 77% (282/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (331/408) | 77% (282/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 50% (30/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (65/106) | 60% (68/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
- 32', Lencina G. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Hurtado Torres Y. D. (A),
- 45+7', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
- 45+9', 2 - 1, Berrio L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mena Perea E. ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
- 46', Ortiz J. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 46', Torres M. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 2, Garcia M. ⚽, Berrio L. (A),
- 59', Mera J. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 3, Berrio L. ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
- 67', Nieto J. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 67', Lencina G. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
- 73', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 78', Valencia J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 78', Berrio L. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 82', Serna A. 🟨,
- 82', Larregui B. 🟨,
- 87', Rovira B. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 90+3', Leon B. ↓, Segura N. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4em4c2uz
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
50.5% | Draw
27.5% | Independiente Medellín
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Tolima's performance.Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Medellín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Tolima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Medellín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.44) |
3.56 ↑
(3.28) |
4.63 ↑
(2.83) |
2.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportes Tolima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of home games.
- Deportes Tolima could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Independiente Medellín?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
15.06.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportes Tolima
2:1
04.06.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Medellín
1:3
15.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
22.09.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
09.03.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
