Result
2:0
19/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (213/279) | 82% (326/399) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (213/279) | 82% (326/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 53% (24/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (60/92) | 67% (72/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Serna A. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Chaverra F. ⚽,
- 27', Monzon L. ↓, Barrios C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rivera H. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 46', Castrillon B. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 46', Gutierrez T. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
- 64', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 72', Moreno D. ↓, Loboa H. ↑,
- 72', Palacios H. ↓, Mena Perea E. ↑,
- 72', Londono D. ↓, Mantilla K. ↑,
- 74', Ichazo S. 🟨,
- 77', Montano J. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 78', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 80', Pestana J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 85', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
- 89', Sarmiento J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4p9b4jy7
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
55.9% | Draw
24.5% | Junior Barranquilla
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.93) |
3.81 ↑
(3.45) |
4.77 ↑
(3.78) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Junior will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Junior Barranquilla?
Independiente Medellín has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Independiente Medellín?
Junior Barranquilla has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
08.12.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:1
19.11.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
21.09.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:2
11.06.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
08.06.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
