Result
3:1
17/08/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (564/616) | 75% (194/258) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 62 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (564/616) | 75% (194/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 82% (32/39) | 30% (14/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (246/284) | 35% (14/40) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 1 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -1.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', Castro A. 🟥,
- 21', Novoa D. 🟨,
- 23', Torres M. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Arias J. ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Rovira B. ⚽, Velasquez S. (A),
- 37', Hurtado J. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
- 37', Giordana S. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
- 41', De Amores G. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Rovira B. ⚽, Velasquez S. (A),
- 45+5', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Rovira B. 🟨,
- 58', Gonzalez M. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 60', Angulo A. 🟨,
- 68', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 69', Velasquez S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 69', Rovira B. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 72', Banguero D. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 1, Lencina G. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
- 82', Sarabia C. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
- 82', Viveros S. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
- 87', Nieto J. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5n6kxaj3
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
39.4% | Draw
32.5% | Millonarios
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Deportes Tolima - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.36) |
2.86 ↓
(2.87) |
3.28 ↓
(3.41) |
7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes Tolima will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
- Recent performances by Deportes Tolima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Millonarios is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Millonarios?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Deportes Tolima?
Millonarios has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Millonarios were as follows:
02.03.2025
Millonarios
-
Deportes Tolima
2:0
02.08.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportes Tolima
1:0
03.02.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Millonarios
2:0
07.08.2023
Millonarios
-
Deportes Tolima
1:0
29.03.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Millonarios
1:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
