Result
1:0
04/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Brazil | Globo Esporte, Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (438/501) | 76% (198/262) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (438/501) | 76% (198/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (125/169) | 65% (30/46) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/36) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Lopez E. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
- 37', Florez K. 🟥,
- 43', Robledo A. ↓, Garrido N. ↑,
- 45+5', Felipe Ogaz 🟨,
- 45+5', Sandoval L. 🟨,
- 45+8', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Pavez L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sandoval L. ↓, Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
- 58', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 75', Rabello B. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
- 82', Felipe Ogaz 🟨,
- 84', Arrieta C. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez F. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
- 87', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
- 87', Castillo A. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
- 90+6', Barbosa Gomez S. P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
OHiggins
37.1% | Draw
31.1% | Deportes Tolima
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
OHiggins - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.3) |
3.02 ↓
(3.25) |
2.97 ↓
(3) |
6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for OHiggins - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Deportes Tolima (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Deportes Tolima (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Deportes Tolima (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- OHiggins is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has OHiggins won against Deportes Tolima?
OHiggins has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against OHiggins?
Deportes Tolima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OHiggins - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
Latest results of OHiggins
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Draw
2026Quarter-finals| 1 | Juventud | U. Catolica | 5 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Guarani | |
| 3 | Liverpool M. | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Ind. Medellin | |
| 5 | The Strongest | Dep. Tachira | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Deportes Tolima | |
| 7 | O'Higgins | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Bahia | |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo | Alianza Lima | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Sporting Cristal | |
| 11 | Carabobo | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Huachipato | |
| 13 | Barcelona SC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Argentinos Jrs | |
| 15 | Nacional Potosi | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Botafogo RJ | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Juventud | Guarani | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | Ind. Medellin | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | Deportes Tolima | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | Bahia | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | Sporting Cristal | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 6 | Carabobo | Huachipato | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | Argentinos Jrs | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | Botafogo RJ | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Juventud | Ind. Medellin | |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | Carabobo | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | Botafogo RJ | 1 : 1 |
